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Local elections 2020: analysis of the age structure of voters
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2020
28.10.2020
  • According to the results of the Electoral and Behavioral Study conducted by Rating Group on election day (25 October), older voters were more active in the 2020 local elections: 56% of those who came to vote were people aged over 50, while in the overall structure of the electorate their share is 45%.
  • At the same time, young people were less active: only 11% of those who came to vote were aged 18–29, although their share in the overall structure of the electorate is 18%.
  • The greatest imbalance toward the older electorate occurred mainly in cities and more often among men. In the regional breakdown, this was more common in the East and South of the country, where the share of voters aged over 50 reached 60%.
  • An analysis of responses from respondents who did not vote on 25 October showed that among women the most common reasons for not voting were health conditions and the threat of coronavirus, while among men the main reasons were being busy on election day, lack of interest in the elections, and lack of interest in their results.
  • In the age breakdown, for older respondents the main reason for not voting was health status, while for young people it was being busy on election day and living outside the place of registration (especially relevant for Kyiv). For people of middle age, the threat of coronavirus was an additional reason.

 

Results of the electoral behaviour study on election day
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2020
25.10.2020
  • According to the electoral and behavioral study by the Rating Group conducted on election day, October 25, 2020, among those who voted in the local elections, 40% said that it was difficult for them to understand the ballots: 13% said it was very difficult and 27% said it was somewhat difficult. At the same time, 35% of voters said it was quite easy to do so, and 25% said it was very easy.
  • Among those who voted, the majority believe that local elections are important for the country (79%). At the same time, among those who did not go to the polls, only about half share this view. Voters are also more optimistic about the future than non-voters: 47% of voters believe that the situation in their city or village will improve as a result of these elections, 38% think it will not change. Among non-voters, only 20% believe the situation will improve, while the majority (58%) think it will not change and 13% expect it to worsen.
  • Among those who did not vote, a relative majority feel disappointment about the situation in the country — 63%, while 32% of them feel hope. Those who voted give more mixed answers: 44% feel hope and 51% feel disappointment about the country.
  • Overall, among all emotions felt by voters, hope (51%) and interest (24%) prevail, while among those who did not vote, disappointment dominates (35%).
  • Among the polling stations covered by the Rating Group study, a presidential poll was conducted at 69% of stations. At those stations where the presidential poll was not conducted, the majority said they would have participated in it if it had been held (67%). Overall, participation in the presidential poll was highest among voters of the Servant of the People party (63% participated, 37% did not), and lowest among voters of the European Solidarity party (27% participated, 73% did not).
  • Respondents gave the following answers to the five questions posed by the President. Support for Ukraine’s right to use security guarantees defined by the Budapest Memorandum was expressed by 78% of those who participated both in the elections and in the presidential poll, while 10% did not support it and 12% were unable to answer. Among those who participated in the elections but not in the presidential poll, 56% support this right, 13% do not, and 31% were unable to answer.
  • Legalization of cannabis for medical purposes to alleviate pain for seriously ill patients is supported by 70% of those who participated both in the elections and in the presidential poll, while 24% do not support it. Among those who voted but did not participate in the presidential poll, 52% support it, 28% do not, and 20% were unable to answer.
  • The idea of life imprisonment for corruption on a particularly large scale is supported by 81% of those who participated both in the elections and in the presidential poll, while 16% do not support it. Among those who voted but did not take part in the presidential poll, 63% support this idea, 21% do not, and 16% are undecided.
  • The idea of creating a free economic zone in the territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions is supported by 45% of those who participated both in the elections and in the presidential poll, while 43% do not support it and 12% are undecided. Among those who voted but did not participate in the presidential poll, 33% support this idea, 39% do not, and 28% are undecided.
  • The idea of reducing the number of Members of Parliament to 300 is supported by 95% of those who participated both in the elections and in the presidential poll, while 4% do not support it. Among those who voted but did not participate in the presidential poll, 81% support it, 7% do not, and 13% are undecided.
  • Among those who did not vote in the elections, 20% named health condition as the main reason, 19% said they do not live at their place of registration, 15% were busy on election day, and 14% did not know whom to vote for. For 12%, elections are uninteresting, and 10% cited the coronavirus epidemic. For 4%, there were no elections in their city or village, and another 4% were not included in the voter lists.
  • If there had been an opportunity to vote electronically from home, 46% of those who did not vote in the local elections say they would have voted, 13% say the chances are 50/50, 14% say they possibly would have voted, and 25% say they would not have voted.
Dynamics of attitudes towards the President's initiative (20-21 October)
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2020
22.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on October 20–21 recorded a gradual increase in interest in the President’s poll. Thus, 70% of respondents know that President Zelenskyy announced a nationwide poll to be held on election day, October 25 (35% said they know about it well, 35% said they have heard something about it). 29% know nothing about it. A relatively higher level of awareness of the presidential initiative is recorded among residents of regional centers and Kyiv, older respondents, and voters of the parties Strength and Honor, European Solidarity, the Shariy Party, and Svoboda.
  • 43% of respondents have a positive attitude toward the President’s idea of holding a nationwide poll on election day. 30% are neutral and 25% have a negative attitude. Residents of Kyiv and Galicia, older respondents, and voters of the European Solidarity party tend to view this idea more negatively. Younger respondents and supporters of the Servant of the People party perceive this initiative positively.
  • 63% of respondents consider the President’s initiative to be legal, while 23% hold the opposite view. Only supporters of European Solidarity mostly consider the President’s poll illegal. Voters of other parties, in their relative majority, consider the poll to be legal.


Roads in Ukraine: population assessments
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2020
21.10.2020
  • According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group, 76% of respondents noticed an improvement in the condition of roads and an increase in road repairs over the past year (in 2017 this share was 62%, in 2018 – 61%). 23% hold the opposite view. Assessing improvements in road conditions at different levels, 67% of respondents noticed improvements on interregional roads, 63% in their district, and 62% in their locality.
  • Among respondents who noticed improvements in road conditions, 46% believe that the main credit for this belongs to local authorities, 29% believe it is the President’s merit, only 3% attribute it to the Prime Minister, and 2% to the Verkhovna Rada. Over the past three years, the share of those who believe that road improvements are the President’s merit has increased significantly.
  • If in 2017–2018 good roads were considered the merit of local authorities and the Prime Minister, then in 2020 they are attributed to local authorities and the President.
  • 56% of respondents believe that more roads are being repaired under Zelenskyy than under Poroshenko (13%). 18% believe that the amount of construction was the same. Assessing the sphere of social infrastructure construction, 27% believe that more is being built under Zelenskyy, 27% under both, and 17% under Poroshenko.
  • Comparing all presidents, 41% believe that the most road repairs took place under Zelenskyy. 15% believe this was during President Poroshenko’s term, 11% during Yanukovych’s, 8% during Kuchma’s, 3% during Yushchenko’s, and 2% during Kravchuk’s. 17% were unable to decide on this issue.



 

Monitoring of local elections 2020: UKRAINE (16-19 October 2020)
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2020
20.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group (16–19 October) recorded a gradual increase in positive expectations regarding local elections since the beginning of the study (early September 2020). At present, 34% of respondents believe that the situation in their city or village will improve as a result of the elections. 52% believe that nothing will change. Only 6% believe that the situation will worsen. An increase in optimism is observed across all age groups.
  • 61% of respondents stated their intention to participate in the local elections. 18% are undecided (50/50), another 7% may participate, and 13% consider participation unlikely. Electoral mobilization is gradually increasing among younger and middle-aged groups.
  • In the event of a worsening coronavirus situation, 51% confirmed their readiness to take part in the elections, 21% are undecided (50/50), 9% may come to polling stations, and 17% consider participation unlikely. Over the past two weeks, the number of those ready to come to polling stations even in the event of an escalation of the epidemic has increased.
  • 58% of respondents said they had already decided whom to vote for, while 40% had not. Among those who stated that they would definitely come to polling stations, 73% are decided. A relatively higher level of certainty is observed among the oldest respondents.
  • According to the aggregated party rating in local elections, five parties pass the conditional 5% threshold among those who are decided and have a firm intention to vote: “Servant of the People” with 16.7%, “Opposition Platform – For Life” with 13.5%, “European Solidarity” with 13.2%, “Batkivshchyna” with 8.6%, and “For the Future” with 7.4%.
  • The party “Our Land” is supported by 4.0%. The Radical Party of Oleh Liashko has 3.3%, UDAR of Vitali Klitschko 2.7%, Svoboda 2.3%, the Shariy Party 1.9%, “Proposition” 1.6%, “Holos” 1.4%, “Strength and Honor” 1.2%, and “Palchevskyi’s Victory” 0.9%. The combined rating of other parties (mainly local ones) participating in the local elections and included in the study list is 21.3%.
  • 48% believe that minor falsifications will occur in the local elections. 28% are convinced that they will be significant. 16% believe that there will be no falsifications. Over the past month, the number of those expecting significant falsifications has increased.
  • 62% of respondents have a negative attitude toward situations where, during elections, some politicians and parties provide material assistance to voters (distributing food packages, money, funds for repairs or treatment). 19% are neutral, and 15% are positive. At the same time, only 6% personally encountered attempts at bribery, 11% know about such cases from relatives or acquaintances, and 81% had no such experience during this election campaign.
  • 57% have heard about the Government’s recommendation to vote using a personal pen. 42% have not heard about it. Only one third know about the recommendation not to bring children to polling stations. 65% do not know about this recommendation, especially among those who have children under 16 years old. Despite this, 87% support such a recommendation, while only 10% hold the opposite view.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Chernivtsi
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2020
20.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on 17–19 October among residents of Chernivtsi showed that city residents assess the situation in the city and in the country equally pessimistically. Thus, 70% believe that affairs in the country are developing in the wrong direction, while 19% think they are moving in the right direction. With regard to the city, 17% believe that affairs are moving in the right direction, while 76% believe they are moving in the wrong direction.
  • 69% said that they will definitely take part in the local elections, another 13% are hesitant about whether to participate, 3% may take part, and 15% say it is unlikely that they will vote. Voter mobilization is relatively higher among older residents.
  • In the rating for the Chernivtsi City Council, the party “Yedyna Alternatyva” is in the lead with a rating of 18.9% among those who will vote and have decided on their choice. This is followed by the party “Team of Mykhailishyn,” which is ready to be supported by 16.7%, “Servant of the People” with 12.2%, “European Solidarity” with 9.0%, “Proposition” with 9.0%, the Party of Chernivtsi Residents with 4.7%, “For the Future” with 4.5%, “Batkivshchyna” with 4.4%, and “Opposition Platform – For Life” with 4.0%. The ratings of other parties are below 4%. About 17% have not yet decided.
  • Among the mayoral candidates, Vitalii Mykhailishyn is the leader, with 28.9% among those who will vote and have decided on their choice. 24.8% are ready to support Roman Klichuk, 17.3% Oleksii Kaspruk, 8.6% Vitalii Druhanovskyi, and 4.0% Vasyl Maksymiuk. The ratings of other candidates are below 4%. About 13% of respondents have not decided whom they will vote for.
  • 35.0% believe that Roman Klichuk will become the new mayor of Chernivtsi. 32.4% believe that it will be Vitalii Mykhailishyn, 17.9% Oleksii Kaspruk, and 10.0% Vitalii Druhanovskyi. Less than 1% believe in the victory of other candidates.
  • Modeling of the second round of the mayoral elections showed that if R. Klichuk were to advance to the second round against other potential candidates, the candidate from the party “Yedyna Alternatyva” would win. In a runoff against O. Kaspruk, the result would be 47% versus 29%; against V. Druhanovskyi, 43% versus 19%; and against V. Mykhailishyn, 42% versus 36%. In a matchup between O. Kaspruk and V. Mykhailishyn, the latter would win with a result of 42% versus 35%.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: UKRAINE (16-19 October 2020)
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2020
20.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on 16–19 October recorded a gradual increase in positive expectations from elections at the local level since the start of the study (early September 2020). Today, 34% of respondents believe that the situation as a result of the elections in their city/village will improve. 52% believe that nothing will change. Only 6% believe that it will worsen. An increase in optimism is recorded in all age groups.
  • 61% of respondents stated that they plan to take part in the local elections. 18% are undecided (50/50), another 7% may take part, and 13% say participation is unlikely. Electoral mobilization is gradually increasing among younger and middle-aged groups.
  • In the event of a worsening coronavirus situation, 51% confirmed their readiness to take part in the elections, 21% are undecided (50/50), 9% may come to polling stations, and 17% say participation is unlikely. Over the past two weeks, the number of those ready to come to polling stations even in the event of a worsening epidemic has increased.
  • 58% of respondents said they have already decided whom to vote for, while 40% have not decided. Among those who said they would definitely come to polling stations, 73% have made their choice. A relatively higher level of certainty is observed among the oldest respondents.
  • According to the aggregated party rating for local elections, five parties cross the notional 5% threshold: “Servant of the People” with 16.7% among those who have decided and have a firm intention to vote, “Opposition Platform – For Life” with 13.5%, “European Solidarity” with 13.2%, “Batkivshchyna” with 8.6%, and “For the Future” with 7.4%.
  • The party “Nash Krai” is supported by 4.0%. The Radical Party of Oleh Liashko has 3.3%, UDAR of Vitalii Klychko 2.7%, Svoboda 2.3%, the Shariy Party 1.9%, “Proposition” 1.6%, “Holos” 1.4%, “Strength and Honor” 1.2%, and “Victory of Palchevskyi” 0.9%. The combined rating of other parties (mainly local ones) participating in the local elections and included in the study list is 21.3%.
  • 48% believe that there will be minor falsifications in the local elections. 28% are convinced that they will be significant. 16% believe there will be none. Over the past month, the number of those expecting significant falsifications has increased.
  • 62% of respondents have a negative attitude toward situations where, during elections, some politicians and parties provide material assistance to voters (distribute food packages, money, funds for repairs or treatment). 19% have a neutral attitude, and 15% a positive one. At the same time, only 6% personally encountered attempts at bribery, 11% know about this from relatives or acquaintances, and 81% did not have such experience during this election campaign.
  • 57% have heard about the Government’s recommendation to vote using one’s own pen, while 42% have not. Only one third know about the recommendation not to bring children to polling stations. 65% do not know about it, with a higher share among those who have children under 16. Despite this, 87% support this recommendation, while only 10% hold the opposite view.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Odesa
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2020
20.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group during 9–14 October among residents of Odesa showed that Odesa residents assess the situation in the city somewhat more positively than the situation in the country as a whole. Thus, 75% believe that affairs in the country are developing in the wrong direction, while only 12% think they are moving in the right direction. With regard to the city, 28% believe that affairs are moving in the right direction, while 57% think they are developing in the wrong direction.
  • 21% are satisfied with the performance of President V. Zelenskyi, while 67% are dissatisfied. More than half of respondents are satisfied with the performance of the Mayor of Odesa, H. Trukhanov (53%), while 33% are dissatisfied. Almost 60% of respondents do not mind H. Trukhanov becoming mayor again, while 37% believe the city needs a new mayor.
  • 61% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 18% are hesitating whether to participate, 5% may take part, and 15% are unlikely to vote. Voter mobilization is relatively higher among older respondents.
  • In the rating for the Odesa City Council, the Trust the Deeds party is leading with 36.2% among those who intend to vote and have made up their minds. It is followed by the Opposition Platform – For Life party with 19.4%, Servant of the People with 12.3%, European Solidarity with 7.2%, the Ukrainian Maritime Party of S. Kivalov with 6.3%, and the Shariy Party with 5.9%. The rating of other parties is below 3%. 14% have not decided.
  • When choosing a political force in the city council elections, 25% are more likely to support a well-known national party, while 61% are more likely to support a local party, even if it runs only in the city or region.
  • Among mayoral candidates, Hennadii Trukhanov is the leader with 50.1% among those who intend to vote and have made up their minds. 10.6% are ready to support Mykola Skoryk, 8.8% Oleh Filimonov, 7.9% Serhii Kivalov, 5.9% Petro Obukhov, 4.4% Eduard Hurvits, and 3.2% Yevhen Chervonenko. The ratings of other candidates are below 2%. About 14% of respondents have not decided whom they would vote for.
  • Modeling of a second round of the mayoral elections showed that if H. Trukhanov were to face other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a matchup with E. Hurvits the result would be 68% versus 14%, with S. Kivalov 62% versus 16%, with P. Obukhov 65% versus 12%, with M. Skoryk 59% versus 18%, and with O. Filimonov 64% versus 17%.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: KHARKIV region
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2020
19.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by the Rating Group during 2–9 October among residents of Kharkiv Oblast showed that 56% will definitely take part in the local elections, another 20% are hesitant about whether to participate, 9% may take part, and 15% say it is unlikely that they will vote. Voter mobilization is relatively higher among older respondents, women, and residents of Kharkiv city.
  • In the rating for the Kharkiv Oblast Council, the “Kernes Bloc – Successful Kharkiv” party is in the lead with a rating of 45.7% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. It is followed by the “Svitlychna Bloc Together!” party, supported by 19.6%, the “Opposition Platform – For Life” with 13.7%, “Servant of the People” with 7.4%, “European Solidarity” with 4.2%, and the Shariy Party with 3.7%. The rating of other parties is below 2%. About 11% remain undecided.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Oleksandriia
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2020
19.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by the Sociological Group Rating on 16–18 October among residents of Oleksandriia showed that city residents assess the local situation relatively more positively than the situation in the country as a whole. Thus, 76% believe that affairs in the state are developing in the wrong direction, while only 15% think they are moving in the right direction. With regard to the city, 39% believe that things are moving in the right direction, while 48% think they are moving in the wrong direction. The dynamics of overall public sentiment in the city show a negative trend.
  • A total of 68% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 14% are undecided about participation, 4% may take part, and 13% say it is unlikely they will vote. Voter mobilization is relatively higher among older respondents.
  • Modeling a possible worsening of the epidemiological situation in the city slightly reduces overall voter mobilization. In this case, 61% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 16% are undecided, 5% may take part, and 16% say it is unlikely they will vote. Despite this, older respondents still express the greatest willingness to come to polling stations.
  • In the rating for the Oleksandriia City Council, the party “Proposition” is leading with a rating of 29,3% among those who intend to vote and have made their choice. It is followed by the party “Opposition Platform – For Life,” which is supported by 17,9%, “European Solidarity” with 10,4%, “Batkivshchyna” with 8,4%, “Servant of the People” with 8,3%, “Strength of People” with 6,3%, and the Radical Party of Lyashko with 5,6%. The ratings of other parties are below 4%. About 19–20% are undecided.
  • Among mayoral candidates, Serhii Kuzmenko is the leader with 61,4% among those who intend to vote and have made their choice. 36,9% are ready to support Stepan Tsapiuk, and 0,9% Volodymyr Trofymenko. About 10% of respondents have not yet decided whom they will vote for.
  • A total of 85% of respondents said they are confident in their choice of mayoral candidate. Confidence is relatively higher among supporters of S. Kuzmenko, at 88%.
Attitudes towards the President's survey initiative
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2020
16.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by the Rating Group on 14–16 October showed that 60% know that President Zelensky announced a nationwide poll to be held on election day, 25 October. Among them, 25% said they know about it well, while 35% have heard something about it. At the same time, 40% know nothing about this initiative. A relatively higher level of awareness of the presidential initiative is observed among urban residents and older respondents. During the fieldwork period, a gradual increase in the share of those who had heard about this initiative was recorded.
  • 42% of respondents have a positive attitude toward the President’s idea of holding a nationwide poll on election day. 33% perceive it neutrally, while 22% have a negative attitude. Relatively stronger support for this idea is observed among residents of the south-eastern regions of the country, inhabitants of villages and small towns, and voters of the “Servant of the People” party. The most negative attitudes toward this initiative are found among the oldest respondents and voters of the “European Solidarity” party.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Kropyvnytskyi
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2020
16.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group between October 3–10 among residents of Kropyvnytskyi showed that 67% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 22% were undecided about participation, and 10% said it was unlikely that they would vote. Voter mobilization is relatively higher among older respondents and women.
  • In the rating for the Kropyvnytskyi City Council, the party Proposition is leading with 26.9% among those who intend to vote and have made up their minds. It is followed by the party City Perspective, supported by 18.8%, Servant of the People with 11.4%, Opposition Platform – For Life with 9.7%, European Solidarity with 8.4%, Batkivshchyna with 7.0%, For the Future with 4.4%, and Native City with 4.3%. The rating of other parties is below 3%. About 11% of respondents remain undecided.
  • Among mayoral candidates, the leader is Andrii Raikovych, with 49.2% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. Artem Stryzhakov is supported by 24.9%, Anatolii Larin by 8.0%, Olha Kovalova-Alokili by 6.9%, and Oleksandr Tsertii by 4.4%. The ratings of other candidates are below 3%. About 12% of respondents have not yet decided whom they will vote for.
  • Modeling of a possible second round of the mayoral election showed that if A. Raikovych were to advance to the runoff against other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a matchup with A. Stryzhakov, the result would be 56% versus 33%; with A. Larin, 65% versus 18%; and with O. Kovalova-Alokili, 66% versus 17%.
On Defender of Ukraine Day
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2020
14.10.2020
  • According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group, 85% of respondents consider themselves patriots of their country, while 12% hold the opposite view. Patriotically minded citizens are present in roughly equal proportions across all regions of the country, and relatively more often among older respondents.
  • 69% of respondents have a positive attitude toward establishing 14 October as the national holiday of the Defender of Ukraine Day, 23% feel neutral about it, and only 5% have a negative attitude. This holiday is perceived most positively by residents of the West and the Center. About 60% of respondents in the East and South view the holiday positively, around one third feel neutral, and only 6–7% have a negative attitude.
  • 59% of respondents expressed readiness, in the event of a relevant threat, to defend the territorial integrity of Ukraine with weapons in hand (in 2019 such respondents accounted for 56%, in 2017 – 54%, and in 2012 – 33%). Relatively more of these respondents are men, middle-aged individuals, and people with relatively higher incomes.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Kryvyi Rih
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2020
12.10.2020
  • The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on 8–9 October among residents of Kryvyi Rih showed that 72% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, about 20% were undecided about whether to participate, and 8% said it was unlikely that they would vote. Voter mobilization is higher among older respondents.
  • In the rating for the Kryvyi Rih City Council, the Vilkul Bloc “Ukrainian Perspective” is leading with 33.8% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. It is followed by the Servant of the People party with 23.2%, the Opposition Platform – For Life with 10.3%, the Shariy Party with 8.2%, European Solidarity with 7.3%, Strength of the People with 6.1%, Batkivshchyna with 4.7%, and Proposition with 4.2%. The rating of other parties is below 2%. About 23% of respondents are undecided.
  • Among mayoral candidates, Yurii Vilkul is the leader with 40.8% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. 29.0% are ready to support Dmytro Shevchyk, 10.1% Kostiantyn Pavlov, 7.2% Yurii Yarovyi, and 5.5% Yurii Myloboh. The ratings of other candidates are below 4%. About 20% of respondents have not yet decided whom they will vote for.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: UKRAINE (4-7 October, 2020)
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2020
07.10.2020
  • The results of the fourth wave of the survey conducted by Rating Group on October 4–7 recorded an increase in public awareness of the local elections.
  • 58% of respondents know that the elections will take place on October 25, another 14% said they would be held sometime this month, and 2% named a different month or date. At the same time, 26% either do not know the date at all or hesitated to answer. In mid-September, only about one third knew the exact date of the local elections.
  • 20% said they know which electoral system will be used for the local elections, compared to 13% in September. 26% acknowledged partial awareness of this issue, while more than half (55%) know nothing about it.
  • Over the past four years, confidence in the importance of one’s own vote in elections has increased. In 2016–17, about half of respondents said their vote did not matter. This year, such respondents account for about one third. More than half are convinced of the opposite. This view is most common among residents of Kyiv and Galicia, younger respondents, and those who stated they would definitely participate in the elections.
  • For one third of respondents, the most important factor in local elections is who will become the city or village mayor, while almost three times fewer (13%) consider it more important which parties will enter local councils. At the same time, 35% said it is equally important to them who becomes mayor and which political forces come to power.
  • 81% of respondents said that when deciding whom to vote for in local elections, they make the decision independently. At the same time, 15% more often consult with relatives or close people. The latter are most common among the youngest and the oldest respondents, rural residents, women, and those living in Western Ukraine.
  • 37% said they often follow local politics and decisions of local authorities, 31% do so occasionally, 20% rarely, and 8% are not interested in these issues at all.
  • 27% discuss local election issues with family members, close people, or colleagues. 32% do so occasionally, 23% rarely, and 14% do not discuss them at all. Those who discuss local elections with close people are more common among older respondents.
  • 58% of respondents stated that they would take part in the local elections. 21% are undecided (50/50), another 8% might take part, and 13% say it is unlikely. In the event of a worsening coronavirus situation, 46% confirmed readiness to participate in the elections, 23% are undecided (50/50), 9% might come to polling stations, and 21% say it is unlikely. Over the past week, trends in declared turnout have remained virtually unchanged.
  • According to information from territorial election commissions, during the fourth wave of the survey adjustments were made to the lists of parties that nominated candidates to regional councils. In total, 77 different parties were included in the rating, the vast majority of which are local parties running in one or several regional councils.
  • According to the aggregated party rating for the local elections as of October 7, five parties cross the conditional 5% threshold: Servant of the People with 17.2% among those who have decided and intend to vote, Opposition Platform – For Life with 12.6%, European Solidarity with 11.7%, Batkivshchyna with 7.5%, and For the Future with 7.2%. Almost all of these parties improved their results over the past week.
  • The party Our Land is supported by 4.0%. The Radical Party of Oleh Liashko has 3.9%, UDAR of Vitalii Klychko 3.0%, the Shariy Party 2.6%, Svoboda 2.4%, and the parties Holos, Palchevskyi’s Victory, and Strength and Honor each have 1.6%, while the Proposition party has about 1%. The combined rating of other parties, mostly local ones participating in the local elections and included in the survey list, is 22.2%.
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Oleksandriia
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2020
01.10.2020
  • The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group between September 26–28 among residents of Oleksandriia showed that city residents assess the local situation significantly more positively than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 15% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 74% hold the opposite view. At the same time, 46% of city residents believe that affairs in the city are moving in the right direction, while 43% think otherwise.
  • 64% of respondents want changes in the city, including 40% who prefer gradual changes and 24% who support rapid changes. 32% are in favor of stability.
  • 45% expect improvements after the local elections on October 25. 37% are convinced that nothing will change, and only 3% expect deterioration.
  • 74% said that they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 12% are undecided (50/50), 3% may take part, and 10% are unlikely to vote. A relatively higher level of pre-election mobilization is observed among the older age group.
  • Among the mayoral candidates, Serhii Kuzmenko is the leader, with 58.5% among those who intend to vote and have made up their minds. 38.2% are ready to support Stepan Tsapiuk. 1.6% support Volodymyr Trofymenko. About 9% of respondents have not decided whom they will vote for.