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Assessment of healthcare

03.09.2020

According to a survey by the Rating Group, 36% of respondents consult a doctor or medical specialist regarding their health condition or to receive any health-related recommendations less than once a year, 15–18% do so once a year or once every six months, 13% at least once every three months, and only 8% use such services on a monthly basis.
84% have chosen their family doctor and signed a declaration with them (this share has increased from 63% to 84% over two years), while 16% have not yet chosen a doctor. The largest share of those who have chosen a therapist is among older respondents, women, and those who more frequently use medical services. Those who have not yet chosen a doctor account for 16%.
18% are rather satisfied with the implementation of the healthcare reform in Ukraine, 64% are rather dissatisfied, and 13% know nothing about it. Greater satisfaction with the reform is observed among young people, more affluent respondents, and those who visit their family doctor more often.
Almost 60% of respondents believe that the authorities should continue the healthcare reform with significant changes, 25% support its cancellation, and 6% support continuation without changes. 62% believe that healthcare reform in Ukraine should be implemented through gradual changes, while 29% support rapid changes.
For the successful implementation of healthcare reform in Ukraine, almost 40% of respondents allocate three years or more, 21% one year, and 9% six months. 20% believe that healthcare reform will never be successfully implemented. A more optimistic assessment of the timeframe for reform implementation is observed among young people, those who have relatives working in medicine, and those who are generally satisfied with the healthcare reform.
Almost 60% believe that healthcare in Ukraine should be partly paid and partly free of charge, 33% support fully free healthcare, and 5% fully paid healthcare. Fully free healthcare is more often supported by older, poorer respondents and rural residents.
Over the past 12 months, 19% of respondents gave gifts (alcohol, sweets, concert tickets, etc.) or made monetary contributions or donations for medical treatment, while 30% did not give such gifts. Half of respondents did not visit a doctor during the past year.
27% would support the appointment of a foreigner to the position of Minister of Health, while 64% are against it. Younger and more affluent respondents are more likely to support such an appointment. 62% believe that Ulana Suprun’s activities had a rather negative impact on the healthcare sector in Ukraine, 19% assessed her activities rather positively, and almost 20% were unable to assess them. A more positive attitude toward U. Suprun’s activities is observed among residents of the West, younger respondents, and more affluent respondents.
About 60% have heard about such initiatives of the Ministry of Health as the update of the Ehealth electronic system, renewal of the emergency medical services vehicle fleet, introduction of public information systems on vaccination, and granting citizens the right to voluntarily decide on organ donation after death. Only about one third of the population is informed about other initiatives (such as the restoration of free hepatitis testing, construction of interregional hospitals, strengthening epidemiological control, and creation of university clinics). Those who are aware of these initiatives are somewhat more likely to support their implementation. Overall, all the mentioned initiatives are supported by the majority of respondents, with the highest support for renewing the vehicle fleet and restoring free hepatitis testing.
Attitudes toward daily Ministry of Health briefings on the coronavirus situation are mixed: 49% support holding them, while 43% do not.
An absolute majority does not support the idea of closing hospitals that serve a small number of patients (86% against, only 10% in favor).
Half of respondents expect a new wave of the coronavirus epidemic in the autumn–winter of this year, while about 40% do not expect it and 11% were unable to answer. 46% believe that the authorities should reintroduce strict quarantine measures during a possible second wave of the epidemic, while an equal share (47%) do not think so. Those who expect a second wave are more likely to consider quarantine measures necessary, although even among them one third are against it.
74% of respondents consider the work of the Ministry of Health important for themselves and their families, while 19% consider it unimportant.
Overall, trust in central government institutions within the healthcare system has slightly increased compared to the previous month. 30% trust the Ministry of Health and 55% do not. 20% trust the National Health Service of Ukraine and 38% do not. 14% trust the Verkhovna Rada Committee on Public Health, Medical Care, and Medical Insurance, while 51% do not.
71% of respondents believe that the Minister of Health should be an experienced medical professional, while 19% believe the minister should be an experienced manager. Only 23% believe that the Minister of Health should create conditions for the unhindered operation of creditors and foreign capital, while 65% believe the minister should strictly regulate their activities. Only 9% of respondents note a positive impact of the frequent change of Ministers of Health on the healthcare sector in Ukraine. 70% note a negative impact, and 15% believe it has no impact on the healthcare sector.
43% of respondents frequently follow news about the coronavirus, 21% follow it occasionally, and 18% rarely follow such news. 17% are not interested at all. Political events in Ukraine are frequently followed by 39% of respondents, occasionally by 27%, and rarely by 21%. 14% are not interested at all.
Most often, respondents receive information about the coronavirus situation in Ukraine from national television (60%) and Internet websites (51%). 26% receive information via Facebook, 17% from relatives, close ones, or acquaintances, 14% from YouTube, 13% from Telegram channels and the Viber community Coronavirus-info; radio, print media, Instagram, and the official website of the Ministry of Health are used by 8–12%.

Social and political mood of Dnipro residents

28.08.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 8–17 August 2020 among residents of Dnipro showed that 56% are satisfied with the performance of the Mayor of Dnipro, Borys Filatov, while 31% are dissatisfied. Assessments of the City Council are somewhat worse: 33% are satisfied, 34% are dissatisfied, and 33% were unable to assess.
Among urban sectors, residents of Dnipro relatively better assess the work of public transport (51% satisfied, 32% dissatisfied). Schools and kindergartens satisfy 29%, 25% are dissatisfied, and 46% were unable to assess. Regarding other areas, residents mostly gave negative assessments. Thus, 35% are satisfied with the work of municipal enterprises and 52% are dissatisfied; with the police, 24% are satisfied and 41% are dissatisfied; with social protection services, 18% are satisfied and 29% are dissatisfied (53% were unable to assess). The greatest dissatisfaction is expressed toward the work of medical institutions: 17% are satisfied and 68% are dissatisfied.
Among local politicians, the highest level of positive attitudes is toward Borys Filatov (47% positive, 26% neutral, 25% negative). Attitudes toward Z. Krasnov are positive for 34%, neutral for 25%, and negative for 28%. Attitudes toward O. Vilkul are positive for 25%, neutral for 27%, and negative for 39%. Attitudes toward H. Hufman are positive for 13%, neutral for 18%, negative for 28%, while 41% do not know him. More than 60% of respondents do not know the other politicians included in the list.
In the ranking of political parties for elections to the City Council, the leading party is “Proposition,” which 27.9% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. The “Servant of the People” party is supported by 14.7% of respondents, the “Opposition Platform – For Life” party by 14.3%, the “Public Force” party by 9.6%, the Vilkul bloc by 7.9%, the “European Solidarity” party by 5.1%, the Shariy party by 4.2%, and the “Batkivshchyna” party by 3.1%. The ratings of other parties are below 2%. About 8–9% are undecided.
Among mayoral candidates, the leader in the rating is Borys Filatov, whom 48.5% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections are ready to support. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower. Thus, 14.9% could vote for O. Vilkul, 13.4% for Z. Krasnov, 7.6% for H. Hufman, and 7.0% for S. Ryzhenko. The ratings of other candidates are below 2%. About 8% are undecided.
Modeling of a second round of mayoral elections showed that if Borys Filatov were to face other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pair with O. Vilkul the result would be 57% versus 23%, in a pair with H. Hufman 61% versus 16%, and in a pair with S. Ryzhenko 60% versus 17%.

Social and political moods of residents of Chernivtsi

26.08.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during August 20–24, 2020 among residents of Chernivtsi showed that respondents assess the situation both in the city and in Ukraine equally pessimistically. Thus, only 13% of respondents said that affairs in the city are moving in the right direction, while 79% believe the opposite. Regarding Ukraine, only 15% state that the direction of development in the country is correct, while 71% consider it incorrect.
Among respondents, emotions of disappointment prevail at 37%. 22% noted that they feel hope, only 11% feel joy, and 8–9% feel indifference, sadness, or anger.
Assessing the risks related to the coronavirus crisis, 67% indicated that they are more afraid of the economic consequences of the crisis for their family than of getting sick. 19% are more afraid of the disease itself. The latter group is larger among older respondents and women.
The condition of roads is the key problem of the city at 78%. 31% identified the condition of residential buildings and entrances as an актуal problem, 24–27% pointed to uncleaned streets, the level of utility tariffs, the quality of public transport, yard and adjacent area improvement, and waste removal. 22% consider the coronavirus epidemic to be a city problem, 17% mentioned the condition of playgrounds, and 15% pointed to stray animals.
In the ranking of political forces in elections to the city council, the leader is the Servant of the People party, which 25.7% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. The United Alternative party is supported by 10.0%, Batkivshchyna by 9.9%, European Solidarity by 9.4%, Ridne Misto by 6.6%, Opposition Platform – For Life by 6.0%, Holos by 3.2%, the Radical Party by 3.1%, and the Victory of Palchevskyi party by 3.0%. The rating of other forces is below 3%. About 11% have not decided.
When choosing a political force in the elections to the Chernivtsi City Council, 55% of respondents said they would rather support a local party, while 28% stated that they would be more likely to vote for a nationwide brand.

Attitudes of Ukrainians toward Independence

22.08.2020

According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group in August 2020, 81% of respondents would support the proclamation of Ukraine’s Independence if such a choice were put before them today. 15% hold the opposite view, and another 4% were unable to answer.
The highest share of those who would support the proclamation of Ukraine’s Independence is in the West (90%). In the Center, this share is 87%, in the South 72%, and in the East 68%. Those holding the opposite view are most numerous in the southern and eastern regions (23–24%). There are also relatively more people who would not support Ukraine’s Independence today among the older generation and lower-income population groups.

Social and political moods of residents of the Ivano-Frankivsk Territorial Community

17.08.2020

Results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during August 1–9, 2020 among residents of the Ivano-Frankivsk City Amalgamated Territorial Community showed that respondents assess the local situation more positively than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 14% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 67% hold the opposite view. At the same time, 73% of community residents believe that affairs in their settlements are going in the right direction, while 18% hold the opposite opinion.
The cost of utility services (35%), poor condition of city roads (31%), drug addiction and alcoholism (25%), and traffic congestion in city streets (25%) are the local problems that most often concern community residents. Chaotic construction of high-rise buildings is a problem for 21% of respondents. Lack of jobs, presence of stray animals on the streets, low professional level of medical staff, corruption in local authorities, condition of residential buildings and surrounding areas concern 16–19%, while city pollution concerns 14%.
Community residents are dissatisfied with the activities of the central authorities. 64% of respondents negatively assess the work of President Zelenskyy, while 23% assess it positively. The activities of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal are viewed negatively by 57%, positively by 15%, and 29% could not assess them. The work of the Verkhovna Rada is assessed negatively by 81%, while only 8% are satisfied.
90% positively assess the activities of the Mayor of Ivano-Frankivsk, R. Martsinkiv, while only 5% assess them negatively. 61% are satisfied with the work of the city council, 16% are dissatisfied, and 24% could not assess it.
Among key sectors, the community is most satisfied with the work of public transport (71%). коммунальні services satisfy 47% and dissatisfy 41%; educational institutions satisfy 43%, dissatisfy 23%, and 33% could not assess them. Police work satisfies 38%, dissatisfies 35%, and 27% could not assess it. Medical institutions satisfy 34%, dissatisfy 48%, and 18% could not assess them. Compared to the end of 2019, assessments of the work of the city council, public transport, educational and medical institutions have deteriorated.
Respondents are rather distrustful of national-level politicians. Thus, P. Poroshenko has a relatively higher level of trust (trust – 30%, distrust – 62%). O. Tiahnybok is trusted by 29% and distrusted by 59%. V. Zelenskyy is trusted by 27% and distrusted by 64%. A. Hrytsenko is trusted by 27%, distrusted by 47%, and 18% do not know him. I. Smeshko is trusted by 20%, distrusted by 36%, and 37% do not know him. Y. Tymoshenko is trusted by 18% and distrusted by 75%. Y. Boyko is trusted by only 6%, distrusted by 58%, and 30% do not know him.
Among local politicians, respondents have the most positive attitude toward R. Martsinkiv (85% positive, 11% neutral, 4% negative). O. Shevchenko is viewed positively by 36%, neutrally by 30%, negatively by 18%, and 16% do not know him. P. Shkutiak is viewed positively by 16%, neutrally by 25%, negatively by 16%, and 42% do not know him. Y. Solovei is viewed positively by 14%, neutrally by 23%, negatively by 14%, and 50% do not know him. More than 70% of respondents do not know other politicians.
In the rating of political forces for elections to the Verkhovna Rada, the leaders are the parties “European Solidarity,” which 23.6% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support, and the All-Ukrainian Union “Svoboda,” which would be supported by 20.5% of such respondents. The party “Servant of the People” is supported by 14.5%, “Batkivshchyna” by 9.8%, “Holos” by 8.5%, and “Strength and Honor” by 4.7%. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. About 18% have not decided.
In the rating of political forces for elections to the city council, the clear leader is the All-Ukrainian Union “Svoboda,” which 51.4% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. “European Solidarity” is supported by 12.2%, “Servant of the People” by 7.6%, “Batkivshchyna” by 7.1%, and “Holos” by 4.9%. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. Those who have not decided account for 19–20%.
Among mayoral candidates, the leader in the rating is Ruslan Martsinkiv, whom 88.0% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower. Thus, 4.8% would support O. Shevchenko, 1.4% P. Shkutiak, and 1.1% A. Korniienko. The ratings of others are below 1%. About 6% have not decided.
84% of respondents stated that they do not oppose R. Martsinkiv becoming Mayor of Ivano-Frankivsk again. Only 13% believe that the city needs a new mayor.
Modeling of a second round of mayoral elections showed that if R. Martsinkiv were to face other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pair with Y. Solovei the result would be 91% versus 2%, with I. Melnyk 90% versus 2%, with O. Shevchenko 87% versus 8%, and with P. Shkutiak 89% versus 3%.

Social and political mood of the population

06.08.2020

According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on 5 August 2020, 20% believe that overall affairs in Ukraine are moving in the right direction, while 68% hold the opposite view.
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, the Servant of the People party would lead the party ratings, supported by almost 26% among those ready to vote and who have made up their minds; 17.6% would vote for the Opposition Platform – For Life party, 15.7% for European Solidarity, and 10.4% for Batkivshchyna. 4.8% would support the Radical Party, 4.6% the Strength and Honor party, 3.2% the Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman, and 3.0% each the Shariy Party and Svoboda. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%.
Half of the respondents who chose a party stated that they are completely confident in their choice, 38% are rather confident, and 15% are not confident. Relatively more confident in their choice are supporters of the European Solidarity party, the Shariy Party, and the Opposition Platform – For Life party.
16% have already been on vacation this summer, another 18% plan to take a vacation this summer. At the same time, 66% do not plan and have not been on vacation. Among those who have already been on vacation or are planning one, 43% will spend it in their place of residence and the same share in another region of Ukraine; only 9% have traveled or plan to travel abroad. Those planning a vacation are relatively more common among younger and more affluent respondents.

Political sympathies of residents of the Mukachevo territorial community

05.08.2020

The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during 18–26 July 2020 among residents of the Mukachevo UTC showed that 79% of residents believe that their cities and villages are developing in the right direction. Only 13% hold the opposite view. Since November last year, the number of those who assess the direction of development of their locality as correct has increased by almost one and a half times. More optimistic views of developments in Mukachevo are expressed by younger and more affluent respondents.
64% believe that the situation in their localities is calm, 28% consider it tense, and only 6% assess it as critical.
74% of respondents believe that, in general, changes in their locality are moving in a positive direction. 18% are convinced that nothing is changing, and only 5% see deterioration. Again, the situation is assessed more positively in Mukachevo, by younger and more affluent respondents.
72% expressed a definite willingness to take part in the local elections scheduled for 25 October 2020.
In the rating of political forces in the elections to the regional council, the leading party is the Team of A. Baloga, which would be supported by 40.5% of those who have decided and intend to vote. 15.9% would vote for the Servant of the People party, 10.8% for the Opposition Platform – For Life party, 8.3% for the Batkivshchyna party, 4.8% for the Native Zakarpattia party, 3.7% for the European Solidarity party, 3.3% for the Radical Party, and 3.1% for the Hungarian party (KMKSZ). The rating of other political forces is below 2%. About 17% of respondents have not decided.

Social and political moods of Kyiv residents

03.08.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 26–27 July 2020 among residents of Kyiv using a telephone survey method showed that city residents assess the local state of affairs better than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 24% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 67% hold the opposite opinion. At the same time, 43% assess the situation in the city as moving in the right direction, while 49% consider it wrong. Since the spring of this year, local assessments have practically not changed, while assessments of the situation in the country have worsened. Young people and wealthier respondents give more optimistic assessments than other categories.
37% of respondents rated the overall performance of Vitalii Klitschko as Mayor of Kyiv as excellent or good. 39% gave satisfactory ratings, and 22% gave poor ratings. At the same time, 24% of Kyiv residents rated the performance of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy as good or excellent, 27% as satisfactory, and 48% as poor.
54% believe that the situation in Kyiv has improved during Vitalii Klitschko’s time as mayor. 30% did not see any changes. Only 15% believe that it has worsened. Compared to the end of last year, the number of those who saw positive changes during Mayor Klitschko’s tenure has increased.
62% of respondents, assessing their own attitude to the coronavirus epidemic, stated that they fear the economic consequences of this crisis for their families more than the possibility of getting sick. 29%, on the contrary, fear the disease more than the economic consequences.
33% rated Vitalii Klitschko’s work in overcoming the coronavirus crisis as excellent or good. 38% rated it as satisfactory, and 25% as poor. The work of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in this area was rated as good or excellent by 26%, as satisfactory by 34%, and as poor by 37% of Kyiv residents.
The leaders of the electoral rating of political forces in elections to the city council are the European Solidarity party, which would receive the votes of 19.8% of those who have decided and intend to vote, the Servant of the People party with a result of 19.3%, and the UDAR party with 17.1%. 8.0% would vote for the Opposition Platform – For Life party, 5.7% for the Batkivshchyna party, 5.0% for the Shariy party, 4.6% for the Holos party, 4.5% for the Victory of Palchevskyi party, 3.0% for the Strength and Honor party, and 2.5% for the Svoboda party. The ratings of other political forces are below 2%. About 11% of respondents are undecided. Since August of last year, the rating of the Servant of the People party has shown a stable negative trend, while the ratings of the European Solidarity and UDAR parties have shown a positive trend.
In the ranking of candidates in the Kyiv mayoral election, the leader is Vitalii Klitschko, for whom 41.7% of those who have decided and intend to take part in voting would cast their votes. 11.6% would support S. Prytula, 9.4% I. Vereshchuk, 9.0% A. Palchevskyi, 5.4% O. Honcharenko, 4.5% O. Popov, 3.5% V. Rabinovych, 3.3% O. Omelchenko, 2.6% A. Illienko, and 2.1% V. Nestor. About 8.5% of respondents are undecided. Since August of last year, electoral support for V. Klitschko has almost doubled.
Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if V. Klitschko and other potential candidates reached it, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pairing with I. Vereshchuk, the result would be 64% versus 22%; with O. Honcharenko, 68% versus 13%; with A. Palchevskyi, 67% versus 20%; and with S. Prytula, 63% versus 21%. From 13% to 20% of Kyiv residents have not yet decided on their choice or do not want to take part in voting in the indicated second-round combinations.
Half of the respondents stated that they did not follow at all the recent primaries in the Servant of the People party, where the party’s candidate for mayor of Kyiv was selected. 35% said that they had heard something about this initiative. Only 14% stated that they followed it closely. The largest share of such respondents is among older respondents and voters of the Servant of the People party, the Victory of Palchevskyi party, the Shariy party, the Opposition Platform – For Life party, and the European Solidarity party.

Social and political mood of residents of the Ternopil region

01.08.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Sociological Group “Rating” during 12–21 June 2020 among residents of the Ternopil region demonstrated that respondents assess the local state of affairs better than the general situation in the region or in the country. Thus, only 16% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 66% hold the opposite view. 20% assess the situation in the region as correct, while 52% assess it as incorrect. At the same time, 40% of residents of the region believe that affairs in their settlements are going in the right direction, while 46% hold the opposite opinion. Since the beginning of the year, assessments of the situation in the country and the region have worsened, while assessments regarding settlements have remained almost unchanged.
62% of respondents believe that the economic situation in Ukraine has worsened over the past year. Only 9% saw an improvement, while 26% did not notice any changes. Assessing changes in the economic situation of their own family, 42% said it had worsened, 46% said it had not changed, and only 11% felt an improvement. At the same time, 23% still expect an improvement in the economic situation in Ukraine over the next year. 31% believe that the situation will not change, while 30% expect deterioration.
59% of respondents expressed a clear willingness to participate in elections to the Verkhovna Rada if they were held in the near future. The leader of electoral preferences among political forces in parliamentary elections is the Servant of the People party, which 25.2% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. 20.4% support the European Solidarity party, 9.5% the Batkivshchyna party, 6.9% the Svoboda party, 5.9% the Strength and Honor party, 5.7% the Radical Party, and 4.5% the Civic Position party. The rating of other political forces is less than 4%. About 20% are undecided.
The Opposition Platform – For Life party leads the anti-rating of political forces. 31.2% of voters would never vote for it in parliamentary elections. 25.9% would not support the Servant of the People party, 21.7% the European Solidarity party, 13.3% the Radical Party, and 12.8% the Batkivshchyna party.
70% of respondents said they would take part in local elections. The leader among political forces to the regional council is the Servant of the People party, which would be supported by 22.4% of those who have decided and intend to vote. 18% would support the European Solidarity party, 15.0% the For the Future party, 9.1% the Svoboda party, 8.1% the Batkivshchyna party, 4.4% the Voice party, and 3.3% the Strength and Honor party. The rating of other political forces is less than 3%. About a quarter are undecided.
Residents of the region rated opportunities for recreation and safe living at a relatively high level. At the same time, respondents are rather dissatisfied with opportunities to find a job, engage in entrepreneurship, and especially earn money.
72% of respondents do not plan to go abroad for work in the near future. 26% plan to do so.
Internet websites (53%), national television (45%), and social networks (38%) are the main sources of socio-political news. 23% receive it from local television programs, 9–10% from radio, acquaintances or close people, and local press. Only 4% read national print media.

Social and political moods of residents of Ternopil

27.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group on 23 July 2020 among residents of Ternopil showed that city residents assess the local state of affairs much more positively than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 21% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 70% believe it is moving in the wrong direction. At the same time, 67% of city residents believe that things in the city are going in the right direction, and only 25% hold the opposite view. Compared to last year, assessments of the national situation have worsened, while assessments of the local situation have improved.
78% positively assess the performance of the Mayor of Ternopil, S. Nadal, while 20% assess it negatively. Almost 40% were unable to assess the performance of the Head of the Ternopil Regional State Administration, V. Trush, and the same share assessed his work negatively. 21% gave positive evaluations.
33% are satisfied with the performance of President Zelenskyi, while 65% are dissatisfied. 37% are satisfied with the performance of the Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada, D. Razumkov, while 50% are dissatisfied. 21% are satisfied with the performance of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, 62% are dissatisfied, and 17% were unable to assess his work.
Among local politicians, city residents have the most favorable attitude toward S. Nadal: 78% positive and 19% negative. Toward S. Barna, 40% have a positive attitude, 41% a negative one, and 14% do not know him. Toward M. Ratushniak, 33% have a positive attitude, 17% a negative one, and 44% do not know him. Toward R. Zastavnyi, 29% have a positive attitude, 54% a negative one, and 13% do not know him. Toward V. Hevko, 20% have a positive attitude, 17% a negative one, and 59% do not know him. Toward V. Ovcharuk, 19% have a positive attitude, 15% a negative one, and 64% do not know him. Toward V. Blikhar, 18% have a positive attitude, 18% a negative one, and 59% do not know him. More than 70% of respondents do not know the other politicians included in the list.
In the ranking of political parties in the elections to the Ternopil City Council, the leaders are the Svoboda party, supported by 22.3% of those who have decided and intend to vote, and the European Solidarity party, supported by 20.7%. The Servant of the People party is supported by 13.9%, Batkivshchyna by 7.3%, Holos by 7.0%, the Ukrainian Galician Party by 5.2%, the Power of People party by 4.3%, the Civic Position party by 3.7%, and the Samopomich party by 3.3%. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. About 12% have not decided.
Among mayoral candidates, the leader in the ranking is Serhii Nadal, whom 66.3% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections are ready to support. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower. Thus, 6.5% could support V. Hevko, 5.9% V. Ovcharuk, 4.5% M. Ratushniak, 4.4% M. Cherkashyn, 3.4% V. Blikhar, 3.1% I. Turskyi, 1.1% O. Stanko, and 0.9% A. Liubetskyi. About 9% have not decided.
Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if S. Nadal and other potential candidates reached it, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pairing with V. Hevko, the result would be 74% versus 12%; with V. Blikhar, 75% versus 12%; and with V. Ovcharuk, 73% versus 13%. About 15% of respondents have not yet decided or do not want to participate in voting in the specified second-round combinations.

Ukraine: assessment of the socio-political situation

27.07.2020

According to the results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 15–20 July, 19% believe that overall affairs in Ukraine are moving in the right direction, while 68% hold the opposite view.
More than 60% believe that the economic situation in Ukraine has worsened over the past six months, one quarter think it has not changed, and only 8% have noticed an improvement. At the same time, expectations regarding the future are more optimistic: 17% believe that in the next six months the economic situation in Ukraine will improve, 35% think it will not change, and 40% expect deterioration. However, in the long-term dynamics, the share of those expecting improvement is declining; alongside this, the feeling of hope (26%) among the population is also somewhat decreasing, while disappointment remains the most frequently felt emotion (43%).
Overall, most respondents see the cause of a possible economic crisis in the incompetence of the authorities, although one quarter believe that economic decline will occur due to the coronavirus.
The trust rating among national politicians is led by the incumbent President V. Zelenskyy, who is trusted by 41% and not trusted by 53%.
27% of respondents trust V. Groysman, while 63% do not trust him; 23% trust Y. Boyko and 57% do not; V. Klitschko is trusted by 22% and not trusted by 67%; D. Razumkov is trusted by 21% and not trusted by 46%, while 23% do not know him; Y. Tymoshenko is trusted by 20% and not trusted by 74%; P. Poroshenko is trusted by 19% and not trusted by 76%. In addition, 11% trust A. Portnov, while 41% do not know him and another 42% do not trust him. Only 11% trust the incumbent Prime Minister D. Shmyhal; one quarter do not know him, and more than half do not trust him.
The presidential rating is also led by V. Zelenskyy; if elections were held in the near future, he would be supported by 30.2% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. 14.4% would vote for Y. Boyko, 13.7% for P. Poroshenko, and 9.1% for Y. Tymoshenko. Another 5.8% would vote for I. Smeshko, 3.9% for O. Lyashko, 3.1% for V. Groysman, and 3.0% for A. Hrytsenko. The ratings of other candidates do not exceed 3%, and about 13% are undecided.
36% are satisfied with the activities of President V. Zelenskyy, while 56% are dissatisfied; 24% are satisfied with the work of the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada D. Razumkov, and 55% are dissatisfied. Only 12% approve of the work of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, one quarter cannot assess his activities, and 62% do not approve. The activities of the Verkhovna Rada and the Government are approved by even fewer respondents: about 10% are satisfied with their activities, while almost 80% are dissatisfied.
In the parliamentary rating, the leader is the Servant of the People party, which nearly 28% among those ready to vote and who have decided on their choice are prepared to support; almost 16% are ready to vote for the Opposition Platform, 14% for European Solidarity, and about 10% for Batkivshchyna. About 4% would support the Radical Party and the Strength and Honor party, and around 3% are ready to support the Shariy party, Svoboda, and the Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman.
Half of the respondents tend to support a local party in the local elections in October, even if it runs only in one region, while almost 30% intend to vote for a well-known national political force.

Social and political moods of Irpin residents

23.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 3–6 July 2020 among residents of Irpin showed that city residents assess the local state of affairs much more positively than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 18% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 65% hold the opposite view. At the same time, 43% assess the situation in the city as moving in the right direction, while 41% consider it wrong. Young people and wealthier respondents give more optimistic assessments than other categories.
67% of respondents noted that they more often feel joy when thinking about their city. 23% feel sadness. The latter are more common among poorer and older respondents.
43% of respondents stated that they trust President Zelenskyy, while 51% do not trust him. 22% trust P. Poroshenko, while 73% do not. 20% trust I. Smeshko, 45% do not, and 27% do not know him. 14% trust Y. Boyko, 57% do not, and 23% do not know him. 13% trust Y. Tymoshenko, while 82% do not. 38% do not know O. Dubinskyi, 9% trust him, and 46% do not.
34% are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 55% are not satisfied. 11% are satisfied with the work of Prime Minister Shmyhal, 60% are not satisfied, and 29% could not assess it. Only 9% are satisfied with the activities of Parliament, while 80% are not. Since the end of 2019, satisfaction with the named individuals and institutions has declined.
69% of respondents expressed a definite readiness to take part in parliamentary elections if they were held in the near future. Among political forces, the leader is the Servant of the People party, which would receive the votes of 30.5% of those who have decided and intend to vote. 21.0% would vote for the European Solidarity party, 7.9% for the Batkivshchyna party, 7.0% for the Opposition Platform – For Life party, 6.4% for the Strength and Honor party, 4.8% for the Shariy party, and 3.4% for the Svoboda party. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 20% of respondents are undecided.

Social and political moods of Lviv residents

22.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 3–12 July 2020 among residents of Lviv showed that respondents assess the local situation relatively better than the overall situation in the country. Only 11% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 70% hold the opposite view. 28% assess the situation in the city as correct, while 48% consider it incorrect. Younger and more affluent respondents more often give optimistic assessments at the city level. At the same time, regarding the country as a whole, there are no significant differences between age and wealth groups. Relatively more optimists about the country’s development direction are found among supporters of the Servant of the People party. Over the past six months, these sentiments have deteriorated.
At least two thirds of respondents are dissatisfied with the performance of key national leaders and parliament. Only 16% of respondents are satisfied with the work of President Zelenskyy, while 66% are dissatisfied. Only 8% are satisfied with the activities of Prime Minister Shmyhal, 62% are dissatisfied, and 30% could not assess his performance. Only 6% are satisfied with the work of parliament, while almost 80% are dissatisfied. Since autumn of last year, satisfaction with the work of central government bodies has declined.
48% are satisfied with the work of Lviv Mayor Andriy Sadovyi, while 33% are dissatisfied. 29% are satisfied with the activities of the city council, 38% are dissatisfied, and 33% could not assess it. Satisfaction with city public transport stands at 32%, while 51% are dissatisfied; for educational institutions, 28% are satisfied and 36% dissatisfied; for the police, 28% and 47% respectively; for municipal services, 23% satisfied and 60% dissatisfied; for social protection services, 22% satisfied and 36% dissatisfied, with 42% unable to assess; and for city medical institutions, 21% satisfied and 62% dissatisfied. Since the beginning of the year, assessments of the city’s sectors have worsened.
The military conflict in eastern Ukraine (62%) tops the list of nationwide problems among respondents. At the national level, Lviv residents are also concerned about lack of jobs and unemployment (32%), bribery and corruption in government (30%), low wages and pensions (29%), the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic (24%), and the inability to obtain quality medical care (22%). Personally, respondents also consider the war in the East (44%) and low wages and pensions (35%) to be their biggest problems. Lack of work personally concerns 24%, bribery and corruption in government and the COVID-19 epidemic concern 23% each, and poor-quality healthcare concerns 20%.
Among city-level problems, Lviv residents are most concerned about traffic congestion on streets (45%) and the cost of utility services (39%). Corruption in the city government concerns 34%, chaotic high-rise construction 32%, drug addiction and alcoholism 31%, and a lack of parking spaces 21%. The quality of public transport services and poor road conditions are considered problems by 19% each, while the presence of stray animals on the streets, a shortage of places in kindergartens, low professional standards of medical staff, and transport fares concern 16–17% each.
Improving the performance of medical institutions is the main priority for city authorities according to residents (52%). About one third of respondents consider the quality of housing and communal services, public transport, waste collection and disposal, and the fight against corruption to be priority tasks for the city government. Improving the work of educational institutions, job creation, and road quality are priorities for about one quarter.
The quality of roads, sidewalks and adjacent territories, tourism development, and the renovation of parks and squares are considered the main achievements of Mayor Andriy Sadovyi by respondents (26–31%). 22% consider improved street lighting to be his achievement, 16% the quality of public transport, and 11% each improvements in waste collection and disposal and attracting investment to the city.
In the rating of political forces for elections to the city council, the leader is the European Solidarity party, which 28.2% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. Samopomich is supported by 18.6%, Holos by 9.8%, Servant of the People by 7.6%, Svoboda by 5.7%, and Batkivshchyna by 5.6%. The ratings of other political forces are below 5%. About 14% are undecided.
Among candidates for the position of mayor, Lviv residents have the most positive attitude toward Andriy Sadovyi: 43% view him positively, 27% neutrally, and 29% negatively. Roman Koshulynskyi is viewed positively by 32%, neutrally by 21%, negatively by 15%, while 32% do not know him. Oleh Synyutka is viewed positively by 25%, neutrally by 26%, negatively by 25%, and 24% do not know him. Ihor Zinkevych is viewed positively by 21%, neutrally by 19%, negatively by 7%, and 54% do not know him. Ihor Vasyunyk is viewed positively by 10%, neutrally by 29%, negatively by 14%, and 46% do not know him. Volodymyr Hirniak is viewed positively by 10%, neutrally by 26%, negatively by 11%, and 53% do not know him. More than 70% of respondents do not know other politicians. Over the past four years, attitudes toward Mayor Andriy Sadovyi have remained almost unchanged (41–43%), while attitudes toward Roman Koshulynskyi (from 18% to 32%) and Oleh Synyutka (from 17% to 25%) have improved.
Among candidates for the position of mayor of Lviv, the leader is Andriy Sadovyi, supported by 38.1% of those who have decided and would take part in voting. Roman Koshulynskyi would be supported by 17.9%, Oleh Synyutka by 13.8%, Ihor Zinkevych by 10.7%, Volodymyr Hirniak by 5.4%, Yaroslav Ruschyshyn by 3.4%, and Ihor Vasyunyk by 3.4%. The ratings of other candidates are below 2%. About 16% are undecided.
Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if Andriy Sadovyi faced other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a runoff against Roman Koshulynskyi the result would be 45% versus 32%, against Oleh Synyutka 46% versus 26%, and against Ihor Zinkevych 46% versus 25%. At the same time, it should be taken into account that from one quarter to one third of respondents are still undecided or do not want to participate in voting in these second-round scenarios.

Social and political moods of Chernihiv region

22.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 8–20 July 2020 among residents of Chernihiv Oblast showed that respondents assess the local situation better than the overall situation in the oblast or the country. Only 16% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 65% hold the opposite view. 30% assess the situation in the oblast as correct, while 46% consider it incorrect. At the same time, 44% of oblast residents believe that affairs in their localities are moving in the right direction, while 43% think otherwise. Younger and more affluent respondents more often give optimistic assessments at all levels.
The military conflict in eastern Ukraine (57%) and lack of jobs and unemployment (44%) top the list of nationwide problems among respondents. At the national level, respondents are also concerned about low wages and pensions (31%), the inability to obtain quality medical care (25%), the coronavirus epidemic (22%), and bribery and corruption in government (18%). Personally, respondents most often consider low wages and pensions to be their main problem (41%). The war in the East personally concerns 35%, lack of work 31%, increases in utility tariffs 19%, the coronavirus epidemic 15%, bribery and corruption in government 15%, and rising prices for basic goods 13%.
Among regional problems, residents are most concerned about employment issues (50%) and poor-quality medical services (44%). Poverty concerns 33%, industrial decline 31%, the dying out of villages 28%, decline of agriculture 25%, poor road conditions 24%, land theft 22%, and drug addiction and alcoholism 20%.
Two thirds of respondents are satisfied with the work of city and village mayors, while one third are dissatisfied. More than 60% were unable to assess the work of the heads of the Chernihiv Regional State Administration and the Chernihiv Regional Council. 13–18% of respondents expressed satisfaction with their activities, while 18–20% were dissatisfied.
32% of respondents are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 49% are dissatisfied. 48% are dissatisfied with the activities of Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, 10% are satisfied, and 42% could not assess his performance. 76% are dissatisfied with the work of the Verkhovna Rada, while only 8% are satisfied.
Among local politicians, the most positive attitude is toward the Mayor of Chernihiv, Vladyslav Atroshenko, with 48% expressing a positive attitude, 18% a neutral one, 4% a negative one, and 30% saying they do not know him. Volodymyr Dubil is viewed positively by 16%, neutrally by 17%, negatively by 10%, while 57% do not know him. Valerii Kulich is viewed positively by 10%, neutrally by 14%, negatively by 8%, and 68% do not know him. More than 70% of respondents do not know other politicians.
In the rating of political forces for elections to the oblast council, the leader is the Servant of the People party, supported by 21.0% of those who have decided and intend to vote. The Native Home party is supported by 18.7%, Batkivshchyna by 16.5%, the Radical Party by 12.9%, European Solidarity by 6.3%, Opposition Platform – For Life by 6.2%, Nash Krai by 4.4%, and Strength and Honor by 3.1%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 20% are undecided.
In the rating of political forces for elections to the Chernihiv City Council, the leader is the Native Home party, which 46.6% of decided voters intending to participate in the elections are ready to support. The Servant of the People party is supported by 9.9%, Opposition Platform – For Life by 9.8%, Batkivshchyna by 8.2%, European Solidarity by 5.8%, and the Radical Party by 5.5%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 17% are undecided.
Among candidates for Mayor of Chernihiv, the clear leader is Vladyslav Atroshenko, supported by 88% of those who have decided and would take part in voting. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower: 2.0% would support V. Antoshyna, 1.9% Y. Vlasenko, 1.6% O. Seminskyi, and 1.0% each A. Poliakov and O. Sokolov. About 10% are undecided.

One year after the Verkhovna Rada elections: citizens’ assessments

21.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group on 16–17 July 2020 showed that 55% of respondents actively follow political events in Ukraine. 25% do so occasionally, 14% rarely, and 6% do not follow politics at all. At the same time, the older the respondents are, the more often they follow political events. Compared to April of this year, the number of those interested in domestic political news has increased.
Almost 30% of respondents believe that the current parliament is more effective than the previous composition of the Verkhovna Rada, while a quarter hold the opposite opinion and consider the previous parliament more effective. At the same time, almost half believe that there is no significant difference between them. Young people and voters of the Servant of the People party assess the effectiveness of the current Verkhovna Rada most positively. Voters of European Solidarity assess it most negatively, with the majority of them believing that the previous parliament was more effective.
Among state leaders, respondents assess the work of President Zelenskyy relatively better, with 37% satisfied with the Head of State’s activities and 59% giving opposite assessments. 25% are satisfied with the work of Verkhovna Rada Speaker Razumkov, while 57% are dissatisfied. Only 16% are satisfied with the activities of Prime Minister Shmyhal, while 65% of respondents are dissatisfied.
Among parliamentary factions, the Servant of the People faction received relatively better assessments, with a satisfaction level of 32% among all respondents and 90% among party voters. About a quarter of respondents are satisfied with the activities of the Opposition Platform – For Life, European Solidarity, and Batkivshchyna factions, while around 70% are dissatisfied. 17% are satisfied with the activities of the Holos faction, while 73% are dissatisfied. The age distribution of assessments is indicative: young people are relatively more satisfied with the Servant of the People faction, while older respondents are more satisfied with the factions of Opposition Platform – For Life, European Solidarity, and Batkivshchyna.
The return to the Criminal Code of provisions on punishment for illicit enrichment and the introduction of criminal liability for MPs for “button-pushing” were the parliamentary decisions most positively assessed by respondents, at around 90%.
Significant support, ranging from 60% to 80%, was also recorded for implemented initiatives such as the abolition of parliamentary immunity, granting volunteers the status of war participants, low-interest loans for entrepreneurs at 5%, 7%, and 9%, returning amber mining to the legal framework, increasing income limits for individual entrepreneurs, adopting the law on impeachment of the President, introducing strict rules for transporting children in cars only in child safety seats, restricting the transfer of funds to offshore jurisdictions, and simplifying admission to Ukrainian universities for children from occupied territories. At the same time, the last three initiatives also have a significant number of opponents, at around 20%.
It is important that most of the above-mentioned decisions of the Verkhovna Rada find relatively even support among supporters of different political forces. However, there are also decisions that provoke resistance. For example, the decision to simplify admission to Ukrainian universities for children from occupied territories is supported by the majority of voters of all parliamentary parties except European Solidarity, half of whose supporters oppose it. Similarly, the decision to grant volunteers the status of war participants is supported by more than 80% of supporters of various political forces, except for Opposition Platform – For Life, where support is at 56%.
The introduction of monetary rewards for whistleblowers, a ban on returning bankrupt banks to their former owners, including PrivatBank, and the demonopolization of the alcohol industry are supported by about 50% of respondents. The abolition of the majoritarian electoral system was supported by 40%, not supported by 19%, and a third assessed it neutrally.
In contrast, the legalization of gambling and the introduction of a land market were predominantly perceived negatively by respondents. About 60% do not support these decisions of the Verkhovna Rada, while about a quarter support them. Relatively more supporters of these two parliamentary decisions are found among young people and sympathizers of the Servant of the People, European Solidarity, and Holos parties.
In the rating of political forces for elections to the Verkhovna Rada, the leader is the Servant of the People party, which 27.9% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. Opposition Platform – For Life is supported by 18.0%, European Solidarity by 14.7%, Batkivshchyna by 11.4%, the Lyashko Radical Party by 5.2%, Strength and Honor by 4.3%, the Shariy Party by 3.4%, the Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman by 3.3%, the Svoboda party by 3.2%, and the Holos party by 3.1%. The ratings of other political forces are below 2%.

District No. 208: socio-political attitudes

17.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of July 4–11, 2020, among residents of Single-Member Electoral District No. 208 demonstrated that respondents assess the local situation more positively than the general situation in the oblast or in the country. Thus, only 16% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 65% hold the opposite opinion. Twenty-five percent assess the situation in the oblast as going in the right direction, while 52% assess it as going in the wrong direction. At the same time, 36% of district residents believe that things in their localities are going in the right direction, while 50% hold the opposite view. Younger and more affluent respondents give more optimistic assessments at all levels.
The military conflict in the East of the country (59%) and the lack of jobs and unemployment (50%) top the ranking of nationwide problems among respondents. At the national level, respondents are also concerned about the COVID-2019 coronavirus epidemic (30%), low wages and pensions (23%), bribery and corruption in government (23%), and the inability to receive quality medical care (21%). Personally, respondents consider low wages and pensions to be the biggest problem for themselves (40%). The lack of employment personally concerns 35%, the war in the East 29%, poor-quality healthcare 22%, the COVID-2019 coronavirus epidemic 17%, increases in utility tariffs 16%, and bribery and corruption in government as well as rising prices for basic goods, 14% each.
Among local problems, district residents are most concerned about the lack of jobs (51%) and the low level of wages in the region (40%). Poor-quality medical care concerns 33%, poor road conditions 28%, poverty 26%, depopulation of villages 24%, land theft 20%, industrial decline 17%, drug addiction, alcoholism, and the decline of agriculture, 14% each.
About 40% were unable to assess the performance of the Chernihiv Oblast State Administration and the Chernihiv Oblast Council. One third of respondents expressed satisfaction with their activities, and the same share were dissatisfied.
Forty-four percent of respondents are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 45% are dissatisfied. Regarding the activities of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, 43% are dissatisfied, 17% are satisfied, and 42% were unable to assess. Seventy-five percent are dissatisfied with the work of the Verkhovna Rada, while only 13% are satisfied.
Among the main spheres of life, respondents relatively better assessed the work of educational institutions (schools and kindergartens), with about 50% satisfied with their work and about one third dissatisfied. Forty percent are satisfied with the state of the environment, while 56% are dissatisfied. Thirty-seven percent are satisfied with personal safety and crime prevention, while 55% are dissatisfied. Thirty-two percent are satisfied with the development of agriculture, while 63% are dissatisfied. Twenty-nine percent are satisfied with social protection of the population, while 59% are dissatisfied. Twenty-three percent are satisfied with support for young families, while 58% are dissatisfied. Only 13% are satisfied with the fight against corruption at the local level, while 64% are dissatisfied. The greatest dissatisfaction was expressed regarding the condition of roads (73% dissatisfied, 26% satisfied), healthcare (76% and 20%, respectively), and the creation of new jobs (85% and 10%).
Eighty-two percent are satisfied with the quality of electricity supply, while 17% are dissatisfied. Sixty-four percent are satisfied with gas supply, while 28% are dissatisfied. Sixty-two percent are satisfied with the quality of drinking water, while 36% are dissatisfied.
Among local politicians, respondents have the best attitude toward O. Liashko (49% positive, 23% neutral, 27% negative). Attitudes toward A. Bohdan are positive among 6%, neutral among 26%, negative among 19%, while 50% do not know him. More than 75% of respondents do not know other politicians.
In the ranking of political forces in elections to the Verkhovna Rada, the leader is the Radical Party of Oleh Liashko, which is supported by 27.6% of those who have decided and intend to vote. The Servant of the People party is supported by 19.0%, Batkivshchyna by 16.0%, Opposition Platform – For Life by 8.4%, European Solidarity by 6.5%, Strength and Honor by 4.6%, Our Land by 4.0%, and Ridnyi Dim by 3.2%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 25% remain undecided.
Among candidates in the by-election of a Member of Parliament in the electoral district, the leader is Oleh Liashko, supported by 65.1% of those who have decided and would participate in voting. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower: A. Panchenko would be supported by 9.3% of respondents, A. Usenko by 5.9%, A. Bohdan by 4.5%, V. Tkachenko by 4.5%, and A. Hunko by 1.1%. The share of undecided respondents is 26–27%.
Fifty-five percent of respondents believe that the Verkhovna Rada should consist of experienced deputies, while 25% are convinced that so-called “new faces” should become Members of Parliament. Twenty percent were undecided.
Sixty-two percent noted that when choosing a Member of Parliament, they would rather vote for a candidate who pays more attention to solving economic and household issues directly in the district. Only 19% would support a candidate who pays more attention to solving national issues.
Sixty-one percent are ready to support a candidate who already has experience in politics, while only 16% intend to support a candidate without such experience.
Thirty-seven percent could vote for a candidate who supports the course of President Zelenskyy, 26% for an opposition candidate, while for 37% these factors are not significant. Thirty-six percent would support a candidate representing a specific party, 21% a self-nominated candidate, while for 47% these factors are insignificant.

Social and political mood of residents of the Kharkiv region

16.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by the Sociological Group “Rating” during 4–12 July 2020 among residents of the Kharkiv region showed that respondents assess the local situation more positively than the overall situation in the region or the country. Thus, only 14% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 72% hold the opposite view. 31% assess the situation in the region as correct, while 45% consider it incorrect. At the same time, 51% of residents of the region believe that affairs in their settlements are moving in the right direction, while 39% hold the opposite opinion. Younger and wealthier respondents give more optimistic assessments at all levels.
The military conflict in the East of the country (53%) tops the list of nationwide problems among respondents. At the same time, at the national level respondents are also concerned about lack of jobs and unemployment (39%), inability to receive quality medical care (36%), low wages and pensions (34%), and bribery and corruption in the courts (31%). Personally, respondents most often consider low wages and pensions to be the biggest problem (50%). Poor-quality healthcare and rising tariffs concern every third respondent. Unemployment, the war in the East, rising prices for basic goods, and inflation concern every fourth respondent, while bribery and corruption in government concern every fifth respondent.
Among local politicians, respondents have the most positive attitudes toward H. Kernes (60% positive, 26% neutral, 13% negative), Y. Svitlychna (44% positive, 26% neutral, 14% negative), and O. Feldman (36% positive, 37% neutral, 15% negative). Toward O. Kucher, 6% have a positive attitude, 26% a neutral one, 14% a negative one, and 54% do not know him. More than 75% of respondents do not know the other politicians.
59% of respondents are dissatisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 28% are satisfied. 61% are dissatisfied with the activities of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, 7% are satisfied, and 32% were unable to assess them. 78% are dissatisfied with the work of the Verkhovna Rada, and only 8% are satisfied.
In the ranking of political forces for elections to the regional council, the leaders are the Kernes Bloc “Successful Kharkiv,” which 30.1% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support, and the “Opposition Platform – For Life,” supported by 22.9% of such respondents. The “Servant of the People” party is supported by 12.7%, the Svitlychna bloc “RAZOM!” by 11.5%, “European Solidarity” by 5.9%, the Shariy Party by 4.7%, and the “Batkivshchyna” party by 3.2%. The ratings of other forces are below 3%. About 10% of respondents have not yet decided.
Modeling of elections for the head of the regional state administration showed that 53.5% of those who would take part in such elections and have decided on their preferences would support Y. Svitlychna. O. Feldman would receive 23.1%, O. Kucher 5.7%, and S. Chernov 3.1%. The ratings of other candidates are below 1%. About 18% have not yet decided.

Social and political sentiments of residents of Dnipro

13.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of June 20 – July 4, 2020, among residents of Dnipro demonstrated that 34% of respondents are satisfied with the activities of President V. Zelenskyy, while 52% expressed the opposite views. Only 9% are satisfied with the work of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, 57% are dissatisfied, and 35% were unable to assess his performance. Seven percent are satisfied with the activities of Members of Parliament, while 77% are dissatisfied.
Almost half of respondents were unable to assess the performance of the heads of the oblast council and the oblast state administration. More than one third expressed dissatisfaction with their work, while 13–15% gave them positive assessments.
Fifty-one percent are satisfied with the work of the Mayor of Dnipro, B. Filatov, while 34% are dissatisfied. Assessments of the city council are somewhat worse: 28% are satisfied, 43% are dissatisfied, and 29% were unable to assess its work.
Among urban sectors, residents of Dnipro relatively better assess the work of public transport (43% satisfied, 42% dissatisfied) and educational institutions (30% satisfied, 32% dissatisfied, 38% were unable to assess). Regarding other sectors, residents mostly gave negative evaluations. Thus, 29% are satisfied with the work of municipal utilities and 58% are dissatisfied; with the police, 28% are satisfied and 50% are dissatisfied; with social protection services, 22% are satisfied and 40% are dissatisfied, while 38% were unable to assess. The greatest dissatisfaction was expressed with the work of medical institutions: 18% are satisfied and 68% are dissatisfied.
In the ranking of political forces in elections to the city council, the leaders are the Servant of the People party and the Opposition Platform – For Life party. The ruling party is supported by 24.3% of those who have decided and intend to vote, while the opposition force is supported by 22.4% of such respondents. The Proposition party is supported by 15.9%, Civic Force by 7.4%, European Solidarity by 6.4%, the Shariy Party by 5.3%, and Batkivshchyna by 4.5%. The ratings of other forces are below 3%. The share of undecided respondents is 16–17%.
Among candidates for mayor, the leader in the rating is Borys Filatov, who is supported by 42.6% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower: 13.3% would vote for O. Vilkul, 13.2% for M. Buzhanskyi, 12.8% for Z. Krasnov, 7.5% for H. Hufman, and 5.0% for I. Kulichenko. The ratings of other candidates are below 3%. The share of undecided respondents is about 11%.

Social and political sentiments of residents of Lviv region

06.07.2020

The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of June 6–22, 2020, among residents of Lviv region demonstrated that respondents assess the local situation more positively than the general situation in the region or in the country. Thus, only 14% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 71% hold the opposite view. Twenty-four percent assess the situation in the region as going in the right direction, while 55% assess it as going in the wrong direction. At the same time, 40% of region residents believe that things in their localities are going in the right direction, while 46% hold the opposite view.
The military conflict in the east of the country (59%) and the lack of jobs and unemployment (47%) top the ranking of nationwide problems among respondents. At the same time, about 30% also named low income, corruption, and the coronavirus epidemic as problems. Personally, respondents consider as problems, together with the military conflict (35%) and unemployment (30%), also low wages and pensions (37%). Poor-quality healthcare, corruption, and the epidemic concern every fifth respondent. Unemployment and low income are felt more acutely as problems by residents of smaller settlements.
Among the most pressing problems of their own region, respondents most often named employment problems (43%) and poor-quality medical services (37%). One third identified poor road conditions and poverty as problems, while another quarter mentioned industrial decline, alcoholism, and land theft, and every fifth respondent pointed to the decline of agriculture.
Among national politicians, none has a positive balance of trust. Relatively more residents of the region trust P. Poroshenko: 37% trust him, while 54% do not. Thirty-two percent trust A. Hrytsenko, while 46% do not. V. Zelenskyy is trusted by 29% and not trusted by 59%, while almost the same share trust S. Vakarchuk, 28%, and 51% do not trust him. O. Tiahnybok is trusted by 19% and not trusted by 66%. Only 19% trust I. Smeshko, while 24% do not know him and 42% do not trust him. The highest levels of distrust were expressed toward Y. Tymoshenko (16% trust, 75% do not), O. Liashko (18% and 71%, respectively), and Y. Boiko (5% trust, 69% do not, while 17% do not know him). Over time, trust in P. Poroshenko has slightly increased, while trust in others has not changed significantly.
The leader in the rating of political forces for elections to the Verkhovna Rada is the European Solidarity party, which would be supported by 29.2% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections. Seventeen point one percent would vote for the Servant of the People party. In addition, 9.2% would support the Batkivshchyna party and 9.1% the Holos party. Another 7.2% would support the Civic Position party, 6.0% the Svoboda party, 4.4% the Strength and Honor party, 3.8% the Samopomich party, and 3.4% the Radical Party of Liashko. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 16% remain undecided.
In the rating for elections to the Lviv Region Council, the European Solidarity party also leads, supported by 26.7% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections. Thirteen point one percent would vote for the Servant of the People party. In addition, 9.2% would support the Holos party and 8.9% the Batkivshchyna party. At the same time, 8.2% would vote in local elections for the Samopomich party, 7.8% for the Svoboda party, and 7.6% for the Civic Position party. The Radical Party of Liashko would receive 3.5%, and the Strength and Honor party 3.2%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 17% have not decided on their choice.

Ukraine: assessment of the social and political situation

02.07.2020

According to the results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of June 24–28, 2020, 22% of respondents assess the direction in which the country is moving as right, 63% as wrong, and another 15% were unable to answer. Over the past month, a decline in positive assessments of the situation in the country has been observed, from 32% to 22%.
Two thirds of respondents noted a deterioration of Ukraine’s economic situation over the past six months, almost a quarter believe it has not changed, and 9% believe it has improved. Half of respondents reported a deterioration in the economic situation of their own families, almost 40% indicated no changes, and 9% saw an improvement. Over the next six months, about 40% expect a deterioration of the country’s economic situation, 31% expect no changes, and 17% expect an improvement.
Fifty-three percent believe that an economic crisis in the autumn of this year may occur due to the incompetence of the authorities. Thirty-two percent believe that the cause may be the coronavirus, while only 6% believe that the war in Donbas could be the cause.
Among the emotions that best reflect the current state, the most prevalent were disappointment (41%) and hope (30%). They are followed by sadness (15%), fear, anger, confusion, and interest (11% each), joy and indifference (9% each), and surprise (7%).
Thirty-six percent are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 52% are dissatisfied. Twenty-one percent are satisfied with the work of the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, Razumkov, 51% are dissatisfied, and 28% were unable to assess his work. Satisfaction with the work of the Parliament and the Government is significantly lower. Only 9% positively assessed the activities of the Verkhovna Rada, while 76% assessed them negatively. Nine percent expressed satisfaction with the activities of Prime Minister Shmyhal (56% are dissatisfied, and 36% were unable to assess). Only 8% are satisfied with the work of the Cabinet of Ministers, while 71% are dissatisfied, and every fifth respondent did not answer this question.
The parliamentary rating is led by the Servant of the People party, which would be supported by 29.3% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. The Opposition Platform – For Life party would receive 15.3%, European Solidarity 13.6%, and Batkivshchyna 10.7%. Strength and Honor and the Shariy Party would each receive 3.7%, the Radical Party 3.5%, Holos 3%, Svoboda 2.5%, and the Ukrainian Strategy party 2.2%. About 20% have not decided on their party preferences.
If presidential elections were held in the near future, 34.6% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections would vote for V. Zelenskyy. Eleven point four percent would support P. Poroshenko, 11.2% Y. Boiko, 7.2% Y. Tymoshenko, and 6.7% I. Smeshko. Support for other candidates is below 4%. About 15% remain undecided.

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