News and Press releases
Search news and press releases
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Press
Electoral sentiment of the population of the city of Lviv: March 2010
31.03.2010
- 28% of respondents believe that the overall situation in Lviv is improving. At the same time, 21% say the situation is worsening, while a relative majority (44%) believe the situation in the city remains unchanged.
- Overall, 46.5% of respondents are satisfied with the performance of Mayor Andriy Sadovyi (42.1% are dissatisfied). Regarding the performance of the Head of the Regional State Administration Mykhailo Kmit and the Head of the Regional Council Mykhailo Senyk, 18% of respondents are satisfied with their work, while more than 40% are dissatisfied. At the same time, more than 40% of respondents could not assess the performance of the heads of the RSA and the Regional Council.
- Regarding the situation in various areas of city life, according to respondents, over the last four years the greatest improvement occurred in water supply — three quarters of respondents (74%) believe so. General improvement was noted in the cultural life of the city (56%), street lighting (52%), city cleaning (48%), heating supply, preservation of historical heritage (46%), and the operation of public transport (37%).
- Opinions on road repairs are divided: 33% noted improvement, while 35% noted deterioration.
- The worst evaluations were given to the work of housing maintenance offices (ZhEKs) and healthcare institutions (34% and 33%, respectively, said the situation had worsened). Changes were least noticeable in healthcare: 47% believe the situation there has not changed over the past four years.
- Regarding reform in the area with the weakest improvement — ZhEKs — opinions were almost evenly split:
30% believe the authorities should focus on restoring order in the existing ZhEKs,
29% believe the authorities, while supporting ZhEKs, should focus on creating homeowners’ associations (HOAs),
25% believe ZhEKs should be abolished soon and housing maintenance transferred exclusively to HOAs.
Another 8% are indifferent, and another 8% were unable to answer. Older people more often support keeping ZhEKs, while younger respondents more often support developing HOAs. - If mayoral elections were held in March, Andriy Sadovyi would win — 34.4% of Lviv residents would vote for the incumbent mayor. Petro Pysarchuk would place second (16%), and Vasyl Kuibyda third (15.5%). The remaining candidates would be within the margin of error. 12.3% were undecided.
- In a hypothetical second round, Sadovyi would also win:
against Pysarchuk — 46% to 23%,
against Kuibyda — 42% to 25%.
In both cases, 16% would vote for neither candidate. - Support for candidates varies by demographics:
44% of young people (18–29) would vote for Sadovyi,
Pysarchuk is strongest among ages 40–49 (23%),
Kuibyda among voters aged 60+ (24%). - Respondents with higher education more often supported Sadovyi and Pysarchuk than Kuibyda. Support for Sadovyi is evenly distributed across denominations, while support for Pysarchuk and Kuibyda is somewhat higher among believers of the Moscow Patriarchate.
- A relative majority (40%) believe the mayor should be non-partisan. 22% think the mayor must belong to a political party. 26% do not care, and 12% were undecided.
- In parliamentary preferences in Lviv:
BYuT — 24.5%
Svoboda — 12.4%
Our Ukraine — 9.6%
Strong Ukraine — 9.1%
Front for Change — 8.8%
Party of Regions — 6%
Klitschko Bloc — about 3%
Hrytsenko’s Civic Initiative — about 3% - For Lviv City Council:
Svoboda — 15%
BYuT — 14.4%
Sadovyi Bloc — 8%
Our Ukraine — 7%
Pysarchuk Bloc “Native City” — 5.5%
Front for Change — 4.8%
Strong Ukraine — 4.5%
Party of Regions — 4.4%
Kuibyda Bloc — 3.6%
Klitschko Bloc — 3.1%
10% were undecided. - Only three national politicians have a positive trust balance in Lviv:
Arseniy Yatsenyuk (+13),
Oleh Tyahnybok (+6),
Serhiy Tihipko (+4). - Trust and distrust in Yuliya Tymoshenko are almost equal (44.8% vs 48.1%).
Yatsenyuk leads in overall trust (48.3%).
Tymoshenko and Tyahnybok lead in full trust (15% and 13%). - Trust in former President Viktor Yushchenko stands at 29.5%, distrust at 63.7%.
The least trusted are Volodymyr Lytvyn and President Viktor Yanukovych — 75%. - Expectations from the recent presidential election are mostly negative or neutral:
33.9% expect economic deterioration,
46.1% expect greater political confrontation,
37.8% expect deeper national division. - Only 24.4% expect economic improvement,
17.6% expect reduced political conflict,
15.1% expect national unity. - 57% believe the mayor should cooperate with the new authorities solely in the city’s interest.
15.6% advise him to oppose the new government.
10.4% believe he should openly support it.
17% were undecided.
Press
Protest moods of citizens of Ukraine by selected ideological markers
29.03.2010
Language issue
- About 57% of respondents expect that President V. Yanukovych will fulfill his promise to grant the Russian language the status of a second state language. Of these, 12% expect this in the coming months, 24% during 2010, and 21% over the next few years.
At the same time, about 20% of respondents believe that Yanukovych will never fulfill this promise. For every tenth respondent it does not matter, and another one in six is undecided. - The highest expectations of Yanukovych fulfilling this promise are in the South and Donbas, slightly lower in the East, and the lowest in the Center, North, and West. It is worth noting that supporters of the Communist Party (CPU) expect corresponding actions from the President in a shorter time frame than supporters of the Party of Regions. At the same time, the number of respondents who do not believe in the fulfillment of this promise among CPU supporters is three times higher than among Party of Regions supporters.
- The greatest disbelief in Yanukovych fulfilling his promise is in the West (33%), and at the same time this region has the largest share of those who expect action in the next few months (16%).
- 49% of respondents support the initiative of the Party of Regions to legally give local councils the right to determine themselves the language of education in schools and universities, official paperwork, etc.
38% do not support it, and 13% are undecided. - In Donbas, 81% support this initiative, while in the West, 71% oppose it. Accordingly, on one side are supporters of the Party of Regions and CPU, and on the other — Our Ukraine, Svoboda, BYuT, and Front for Change.
- It is worth noting that almost two-thirds of respondents believe that such actions would in practice mean granting Russian the status of a second state language in those regions. Characteristically, in this regard the views of Party of Regions supporters and the radicals of Our Ukraine and Svoboda coincide.
- Overall, 54% support granting Russian the status of a second state language, 39% are against, and 7% are undecided.
- The language issue is currently the largest potential source of protests in possible ideological confrontation.
- About 6% of respondents are ready to personally participate in protest actions if a decision is made to grant Russian state status, and another 13% would support a political force that undertakes such protests.
At the same time, only 2% are ready to go out in support of this decision, and another 13% would support a political force that initiates such actions. - Meanwhile, about two-thirds of respondents stated that they would not participate in any actions, either of protest or support, and would not support political forces that organize them.
- Residents of the West are far more determined to defend their position on language than residents of Donbas. Almost one in five in the West is ready to go out into the streets in protest, and one in three would support a political force that organizes such actions. The most radical are supporters of Svoboda (one in three personally ready to protest), Our Ukraine (one in five), and BYuT (one in six).
In contrast, only 4% of Party of Regions supporters are ready to go out in support of granting Russian second state status. - Issue of extending the presence of the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Ukraine
- 41% of respondents support keeping the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Ukraine after 2017, 38% oppose it, and 21% are undecided.
- The strongest supporters of extending the fleet’s presence are residents of the South and Donbas, and almost 70% of Party of Regions and CPU supporters. However, only 2% of Party of Regions supporters and 4% of CPU supporters are personally ready to go out in support.
Only 13% of Party of Regions supporters would support a political force that organizes such actions. - At the same time, one in ten residents of the West is ready for open protests. Again, mainly supporters of Svoboda and Our Ukraine, and somewhat fewer BYuT and Front for Change.
- Among supporters of the Lytvyn Bloc and Strong Ukraine (S. Tihipko), opinions are split evenly: about 40% for and 40% against. Their readiness for any actions is low.
- Issue of canceling President Yushchenko’s decree granting Hero of Ukraine to S. Bandera
- 53% support canceling the decree, 28% oppose it, 19% are undecided.
- Although fewer oppose the cancellation than oppose the fleet’s presence, the level of protest remains the same.
One in ten residents of the West is ready to participate in protests if the decree is canceled. - More than half of Svoboda supporters and slightly fewer of Our Ukraine are the most radical.
In contrast, communists are the most ready to support cancellation — one in ten is ready to participate. - It should be noted that supporters of BYuT and Front for Change are much less radical about defending Bandera’s title than on language or the fleet issue. Moreover, one quarter of them are ready to support cancellation of the decree.
- Issue of creating a gas transportation consortium
- About 35% support Yanukovych’s initiative to create a gas transit consortium, about 35% oppose it, and about 30% are undecided.
- This issue appears to be viewed more through a political rather than economic lens, which explains the high share of undecided respondents.
- Support is highest in Donbas and the South, opposition is highest in the West, Center, and North.
The highest share of undecided is in the East (41%). - In the North and Center, opponents of the consortium outnumber supporters almost two to one, making resistance here stronger than on the language issue.
- The most radical opponents are supporters of Svoboda, BYuT, and Our Ukraine.
Among Strong Ukraine supporters, the number of supporters equals the number of opponents. - Issue of recognition of the Holodomor
- A majority (60%) believe that the Holodomor of 1932–33 was genocide against the Ukrainian people.
25% hold the opposite view, 14% are undecided. - Among Communist Party supporters, negative responses prevail (37% say genocide, 58% say no).
Among Party of Regions supporters, positive and negative are equal (40% vs 40%).
However, in the South, East, and Donbas overall, positive evaluations prevail. - The strongest defenders of the genocide interpretation are residents of the West, the weakest — Donbas.
- The strongest opponents are believers of the UOC–MP, although even among them supporters exceed opponents (44% vs 39%).
The strongest supporters are Greek Catholics (95% vs 2%) and UOC–KP believers (62% vs 16%). - The genocide thesis is least supported by respondents whose native language is Russian (34% for, 45% against).
Among Ukrainian-speaking respondents, 81% support, 10% oppose.
Among those who consider both languages native: 53% for, 32% against.
Press
Rating of support of unpopular reforms
22.03.2010
- More than half of respondents (56%) feel the threat of economic decline of the country. Remaining practically unchanged over the past six months, economic decline continues to lead in the so-called ranking of threats. Somewhat less frequently (41%) respondents pointed to growth of unemployment. This indicator is consistently second in the ranking, and over the past several months these fears have increased, especially in the industrial south-eastern regions of the country.
- As a result of stabilization in the financial sector, the sense of threat of devaluation of the hryvnia decreased (from 31% in October last year to 24% in March this year).
- After the presidential elections, the feeling of threat from abuse of power by the authorities decreased (in August last year almost 40% of Ukrainians felt this threat, while in March this year only a quarter did). After the victory of V. Yanukovych, the sense of threat from abuse of power in the south-eastern regions decreased twofold.
- Over the last six months, the sense of threat of social degradation of the population decreased (from 21% to 16%), nevertheless this threat remains fifth in the ranking.
- Next in the ranking of threats are environmental disasters (15%), deterioration of medical services (15%), and growth of crime (14%).
- Compared to October last year, citizens’ fears of the country splitting and loss of independence have almost doubled. This is especially relevant for the West, where one in five expects an усилення of the country’s split, one in four — loss of independence, one in ten — loss of Ukraine’s control over the gas transit system, an anti-constitutional coup, and a military threat from Russia.
- The strengthening of ideological threats is characteristic of supporters of most opposition parties. Moreover, among them there is a gradual shift from economic to ideological threats.
- For example, among BYuT supporters, against the background of increased feelings of a split of the country and loss of independence, fears of economic decline and devaluation of the hryvnia decreased.
- Meanwhile, among Party of Regions supporters, feelings of threat from economic decline, growth of unemployment, deterioration of medical services, environmental disasters, etc. have increased.
- Only about one quarter of the population expressed readiness, under certain circumstances, to support unpopular reforms.
- Steps by the authorities aimed at saving state funds through limiting certain benefits, raising tariffs, etc., are supported under any circumstances by only 3% of respondents.
17% are ready to support them if the authorities prove these steps are really necessary for the country.
Another 7% are ready to support them if these reforms do not directly affect them. - Meanwhile, 61% are not ready to support unpopular reforms:
– 18% because they do not believe the authorities will limit themselves as well as the people;
– 8% because they do not believe in the effectiveness of such measures;
– 35% because of rejection of unpopular reforms as such. - The strongest resistance to unpopular reforms exists in the South and East, while the greatest readiness to support them is in the North.
- Supporters of different political forces relate to such reforms almost equally negatively, although somewhat higher readiness can be seen among supporters of Arseniy Yatsenyuk’s Front for Change, and greater uncertainty among the electorate of the CPU and Party of Regions.
- Despite the low level of support for unpopular reforms, 45% of respondents expect such steps from the new government. The most — in the West, North, and Center (about 50%), and the least — in the South (32%). It should be noted that supporters of the Party of Regions, Strong Ukraine, and CPU expect unpopular steps from the new authorities the least.
- The study shows a certain relationship: people who better understand the threat of economic decline are more inclined to support unpopular reforms. At the same time, only half of them expressed readiness to support such decisions.
- If the authorities take such unpopular steps, 7% of Ukraine’s residents are ready to participate in mass protests, and another 13% would support a political force that demands cancellation of such decisions.
- The most ready to personally participate in protests are residents of the West, North, East, and South, as well as supporters of the CPU, BYuT, and Strong Ukraine. Thus, protest against unpopular reforms does not have a single political, ideological, or regional vector.
- About 6% are ready to actively support a political force that advocates unpopular reforms. Meanwhile, 54% of Ukrainians will not participate in any actions, either in support or protest, and one in five could not decide.
- Among possible reforms, the greatest support was for those that do not affect most people: abolition of privileges for civil servants (43%) and reducing their numbers (34%).
- Much lower support was given to: stricter responsibility for non-payment of utilities (14.7%), cuts to budget-sector employees (13.8%), paid health insurance (12.1%), higher taxes on business (11.1%), and cuts to transport benefits (8.6%).
- Almost no support was given to: raising utility tariffs (0.9%), raising gas prices (0.9%), raising public transport fares (1.5%), partial cancellation of benefits for Chernobyl victims (1.6%), reducing childbirth payments (2.1%), partial cancellation of benefits for “children of war” (2.5%), raising retirement age (2.5%), freezing pension increases (3.4%), freezing salary increases (3.5%), and allowing banks to seize collateral from borrowers (3.5%).
- 31% said they support none of the reforms, and another 10% were undecided.
- Only 38% believe in the capacity of the new parliamentary coalition, while 43% do not. The strongest belief is among Party of Regions supporters (66%), as well as among CPU (48%), Lytvyn Bloc (33%), and Strong Ukraine (33%) — mainly in the South, Donbas, and East.
Among opposition supporters, the least faith is among Our Ukraine (8%), BYuT (17%), and Front for Change (24%) — mainly in the West, Center, and North. - Opinions on early parliamentary elections are split evenly: 41% in favor, 41% against. The strongest support is among Party of Regions supporters (47%). Yanukovych’s electorate is much more mobilized: 75% are ready to vote if elections were held next Sunday, compared to 64% of BYuT, 61% of Front for Change, and 57% of Strong Ukraine supporters.
The least supportive are CPU and Lytvyn Bloc supporters. - Only 31% support postponing local elections, 41% oppose, 28% undecided. Support is highest among coalition parties: Party of Regions (52%), Lytvyn Bloc (51%), CPU (49%), Strong Ukraine (43%). The lowest support is among Front for Change (19%) and BYuT (19%).
Press
Electoral moods of Ukrainian population: March 2010
18.03.2010
- According to the results of the conducted survey, in the second round of the presidential election Viktor Yanukovych was supported by 67% of Petro Symonenko’s supporters, 40% of Serhiy Tihipko’s, 25% of Volodymyr Lytvyn’s, 16% of Arseniy Yatsenyuk’s, and 8% of Viktor Yushchenko’s. Yulia Tymoshenko was supported by 76% of Oleh Tyahnybok’s supporters, 60% of Viktor Yushchenko’s, 50% of Arseniy Yatsenyuk’s, 40% of Volodymyr Lytvyn’s, 33% of Serhiy Tihipko’s, and 13% of Petro Symonenko’s. About one quarter of the supporters of Viktor Yushchenko, Arseniy Yatsenyuk, and Volodymyr Lytvyn voted against both candidates.
- It is interesting that 21% of voters who voted for Viktor Yanukovych in the second round actually voted against Yulia Tymoshenko. The highest number of such voters was in the Center, North, and East. Conversely, one quarter of voters who voted for Yulia Tymoshenko actually voted against Viktor Yanukovych. The largest share of such voters was in the North and East.
- Thus, in the second round of the presidential election, about one quarter of voters (6.7 million Ukrainians) voted not for, but rather against: either against Tymoshenko, or against Yanukovych, or against both simultaneously. The rest — about 70% — voted for a specific candidate.
- As of today, at least one quarter of voters from the category of those who voted “against” support Serhiy Tihipko, one in ten support Arseniy Yatsenyuk, and one in ten remain “against all.” At the same time, about 18% of them now support the incumbent president, and 7% support his opponent in the election.
- As of early March, the politicians’ ratings are as follows (among all respondents):
Viktor Yanukovych – 38.2%, Yulia Tymoshenko – 22.4%, Serhiy Tihipko – 13.6%, Arseniy Yatsenyuk – 5%, Viktor Yushchenko – 2.1%, Petro Symonenko – 1.7%, Volodymyr Lytvyn – 1.2%, Oleh Tyahnybok – 1.1%.
Other politicians – 1.1%, against all – 4%, will not participate in the elections – 5.7%, undecided – 4.2%. - Compared to the first round of the elections, support for the now-incumbent President Viktor Yanukovych increased most significantly.
- The rating of Yulia Tymoshenko has almost not changed: 22% among all respondents and 25% among those who will participate in the elections. At the same time, there were small changes in the structure of Tymoshenko’s electorate: support slightly increased in the West at the expense of some supporters primarily of Viktor Yushchenko, remained unchanged in the North, and slightly decreased in the Center due to shifts to Serhiy Tihipko. In addition, support for Yulia Tymoshenko decreased in the East, South, and Donbas, where Viktor Yanukovych strengthened his positions.
- The rating of Serhiy Tihipko has not changed (about 13%): losses of supporters in the Donbas and South are currently compensated by flows from Yulia Tymoshenko, Arseniy Yatsenyuk, and Viktor Yushchenko in the West, Center, and North. Support for Tihipko in the East is stable and is about 20%.
- Since January, Viktor Yushchenko has lost more than half of his support (from 5% to 2%). Arseniy Yatsenyuk has also slightly declined (from 7% to 5%).
- At present, the electorate of Viktor Yanukovych is significantly more mobilized than that of other politicians, and this explains the electoral gap between Yanukovych and the Party of Regions. Thus, about 75% of Party of Regions supporters declared readiness to participate in snap parliamentary elections. This is the highest indicator; for comparison, supporters of BYuT are mobilized only at 64%, Front for Change at 61%, and Strong Ukraine at 57%.
- As of early March, the situation with party ratings looks as follows (among all respondents):
Party of Regions – 36%, BYuT – 22%, Strong Ukraine (Tihipko) – 12%, Front for Change (Yatsenyuk) – 5%, Communist Party – 2.7%, Our Ukraine (Yushchenko) – 1.9%, Lytvyn Bloc – 1.7%, Svoboda – 1.7%.
Others – less than 1%, against all – 3.2%, undecided or will not vote – 11%. - Analyzing the structure of party electorates, the following trends can be noted.
- BYuT and Front for Change have almost identical regional structures (one third of supporters live in the West, one quarter in the Center and North). Our Ukraine, and especially Svoboda, are oriented mostly toward the West.
- The Communist Party and the Party of Regions are traditionally oriented toward the South-Eastern regions.
- The structure of Strong Ukraine’s supporters is the most universal: half come from the so-called “orange” regions (with a slight bias toward the North), and half from the so-called “blue-white” regions (with a strong dominance of the East).
- Strong Ukraine and Svoboda have the highest share of supporters with higher education. These two forces are also the most oriented toward youth. The oldest voters dominate in the Communist Party and Our Ukraine. Based on the data, it can be assumed that Svoboda’s supporters are “new nationalists,” while Our Ukraine’s supporters are “old nationalists.”
- Among supporters of Svoboda, the Communist Party, and Our Ukraine, men dominate. In the rest, women dominate.
- Voters of the Party of Regions, Communist Party, and Strong Ukraine mainly live in cities, while BYuT and the Lytvyn Bloc mainly live in villages.
- The Russian-speaking population dominates only among supporters of the Party of Regions and the Communist Party, which also have the largest share of ethnic Russians. Again, the structure of Strong Ukraine is the most universal also in terms of native language: half identify Ukrainian as native, half identify Russian or both Ukrainian and Russian.
- In the structures of BYuT and Front for Change, UOC-KP believers dominate. At the same time, among BYuT supporters there are slightly more Greek Catholics and fewer UOC-MP believers, while Front for Change has fewer Greek Catholics and more UOC-MP believers.
- The largest share of Greek Catholics is among supporters of Svoboda and Our Ukraine (where it is the dominant faith).
- UOC-MP believers dominate among supporters of the Communist Party and the Party of Regions; there is also a significant number of believers who do not belong to any confession or consider themselves non-believers (atheists).
- At the same time, it should be noted that in the structures of both the Communist Party and the Party of Regions, almost one in five voters belongs to the UOC-KP.
- Among supporters of Strong Ukraine, there are approximately equal shares of UOC-KP believers, UOC-MP believers, and believers who do not belong to any confession.
Press
Rating of politicians for the position of prime minister
16.03.2010
- If in March 2010 elections for Prime Minister had been held in Ukraine and Viktor Yanukovych (as President of the country) and Yulia Tymoshenko (as leader of the opposition) had not run for this position, Serhiy Tihipko would have won a convincing victory (39.4%). It should be noted that support for Tihipko for the post of Prime Minister is three times higher than his rating in the presidential election (13.05%).
- In second place would be the current head of government Mykola Azarov (15.6%), and in third place Arseniy Yatsenyuk (14.9%).
- Next in the ranking were former President Viktor Yushchenko (3.4%), Rinat Akhmetov (2.1%), Borys Kolesnikov (0.8%), Yuriy Yekhanurov (0.8%), Yuriy Boyko (0.2%) and Andriy Klyuyev (0.1%). 3.9% of respondents would support another candidate, 8% would support none, and 11% were undecided.
- Respondents in all regions except Donbas gave first place to Tihipko, while in Donbas he shared first place with Azarov. Yatsenyuk received his highest support in the West.
- While supporters of Strong Ukraine, Front for Change, and Our Ukraine gave overwhelming preference to their leaders — respectively Tihipko (86%), Yatsenyuk (82.4%), and Yushchenko (56.8%) — supporters of the Party of Regions were almost evenly split between Tihipko (37.6%) and Azarov (35.3%).
- Azarov won only among Communist Party supporters — 29.6% versus 25.9% for Tihipko.
- Tihipko was preferred by 39.6% of BYuT supporters, 24.2% of Svoboda, and 16.2% of Our Ukraine supporters.
- In turn, Yatsenyuk received 23.5% of the “votes” of BYuT supporters, 39.4% of Svoboda, and 18.9% of Our Ukraine.
- The highest support for the current Vice Prime Minister was recorded among young people and those of middle age. The higher the level of education, the higher the level of support for Tihipko for Prime Minister.
- It is interesting that Rinat Akhmetov is also seen as Prime Minister mainly by young people.
- Azarov and Tihipko received more support in cities, while Yatsenyuk and Yushchenko — in villages.
- Unlike Tihipko, who received fairly even support among respondents by native language and nationality, Azarov was supported by five times fewer Ukrainian-speaking respondents than Russian-speaking ones, and by 2.5 times fewer Ukrainians than Russians.
- Yatsenyuk, on the contrary, has significantly greater support among Ukrainian-speaking people and Ukrainians.
- (!) Note: the fieldwork ended on March 10, that is, on the eve of the official appointment of Azarov as Prime Minister and Tihipko as Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine.
Press
The attitude of citizens to the New Year's addresses of presidents
28.12.2009
- Ukrainians are evidently not ready to abandon the tradition of the annual New Year’s address by the President of Ukraine. 73% of Ukrainians have a positive (or rather positive) attitude toward this tradition, and only 14% have a negative or rather negative one.
- Unlike residents of the West, Center, and North, residents of the East, South, and especially Donbas perceive the New Year’s address of the country’s leader less positively. It is likely that respondents’ answers were influenced by their negative attitude toward the incumbent head of state.
- Older people view this tradition more positively than younger people. At the same time, positive attitudes significantly outweigh negative ones in all age groups.
- Women also view the tradition more positively than men. No significant differences were observed in respondents’ answers depending on their level of education.
- 38% of respondents say that they liked the New Year’s addresses of all three Presidents of Ukraine equally. At the same time, 13% liked Leonid Kuchma’s addresses the most, and 8% each preferred Viktor Yushchenko’s and Leonid Kravchuk’s.
- Respondents who have a positive attitude toward the tradition of New Year’s greetings from the head of state rated the addresses of each of the three Presidents more positively.
- It is interesting that Kuchma’s addresses are liked more by supporters of Viktor Yanukovych and Serhiy Tihipko, Kravchuk’s by supporters of Volodymyr Lytvyn and Yulia Tymoshenko, and the incumbent President’s addresses by his own supporters.
- Geographically, the pattern is as follows: Yushchenko’s New Year’s greetings are liked (or were liked) the most in the West, Kravchuk’s in the Center, and Kuchma’s in the South.
- For residents of the East and North, the electoral factor apparently plays the smallest role: they like the New Year’s addresses of all three Presidents of Ukraine. Donbas, as already noted, is simply the most negative toward this tradition and toward all presidents whose last name is not “Yanukovych.”
- In rural areas, Yushchenko’s greetings are perceived best; in cities, Kuchma’s.
Press
Electoral sentiment of the population of Ukraine: December 2009
22.12.2009
- One month before the presidential elections, the first-round ratings are as follows: Viktor Yanukovych is leading (33.8% of all respondents), in second place is Yulia Tymoshenko (18.8%), and third place within the margin of error is shared by three candidates: Arseniy Yatsenyuk (5.9%), Viktor Yushchenko (5.5%), and Serhiy Tihipko (5.5%). They are followed by Petro Symonenko (3.8%), Volodymyr Lytvyn (3.3%), and Oleh Tyahnybok (1.7%); the rest of the candidates have no more than 1%. 7.9% of respondents do not support any candidate, and 7% are undecided.
- Compared with October, support for Yanukovych increased (from 31% to 34%), for Yushchenko (from 3.4% to 5.5%), and for Tihipko (from 2.9% to 5.5%). The largest growth of Yanukovych’s rating occurred in the East, Donbas, and the Center; Yushchenko’s — in the West, where at the same time the ratings of Tymoshenko and Yatsenyuk declined; Tihipko’s — across all of Ukraine except the East. In addition, compared with October, the number of undecided respondents decreased by one third (from 10.3% to 7%).
- Voter turnout in the first round is expected at 72%, and in the second round (if Yanukovych and Tymoshenko advance) — 67%.
- To the question “Whom would you vote for if Yanukovych and Tymoshenko made it to the second round?” 43.4% of respondents preferred the leader of the Party of Regions and 30.7% — the leader of BYuT, 12.6% would vote against both, and 8.6% were undecided. Among those who intend to participate in the second round, support for Yanukovych is 52.2%, for Tymoshenko — 34%, against both — 7.9%, undecided — 5.9%.
- It should be noted that in October the gap between these two candidates was about 10%, while in December it is 13%. In the pair “Yanukovych–Yatsenyuk” the gap increased from 13% to 19% in favor of the Party of Regions leader; in the pair “Yanukovych–Yushchenko” it did not change and remains 32%.
- According to respondents, the trait “a good manager” is more characteristic of Yanukovych than of Tymoshenko (41% vs 19%), as well as “a good family man” (32% vs 15%) and “cares about people like me” (31% vs 18%). At the same time, both politicians are considered “strong leaders” (about one third of respondents each). The trait “diplomatic”, in the opinion of respondents, is more characteristic of Tymoshenko (31% vs 28%). 28% of respondents believe the trait “patriot” is more characteristic of Yanukovych, 24% — of Tymoshenko. At the same time 37% of respondents (in the West — 43%, in the East — 44%) believe that neither Tymoshenko nor Yanukovych possesses such a trait as “patriot.”
- Respondents viewed the following post-election power configurations most positively: Yanukovych as President, Tihipko as Prime Minister (40% evaluated this positively or rather positively), Yanukovych as President, Yatsenyuk as Prime Minister (33%), Tymoshenko as President, Yatsenyuk as Prime Minister (28%), and Tymoshenko as President, Tihipko as Prime Minister (26%). In the West, the option Tymoshenko as President, Yushchenko as Prime Minister is also viewed positively (31%).
- The most negatively assessed option was Yanukovych as President, Yushchenko as Prime Minister (12%).
- At the same time, according to a relative majority, after the elections it will be Yanukovych and Tymoshenko who will form the configuration of power: about 13% of respondents predict the option Yanukovych — President, Tymoshenko — Prime Minister (only 6% consider it optimal for the country); about 9% predict Tymoshenko — President, Yanukovych — Prime Minister (only 3% consider it optimal). 45% cannot predict the post-election format of power.
- The political advertising of Yanukovych was evaluated positively (or rather positively) by 38.6% of respondents, of Tihipko — 37.8%, Tymoshenko — 29.3%, Lytvyn — 27.9%, Yatsenyuk — 27.4%, and Yushchenko — 13.5%.
Press
Ukrainians about Lviv
15.12.2009
- Almost 20% of Ukrainians have visited Lviv during the last three years; among them almost 30% went to meet relatives, close people or friends, one quarter went as tourists, one in five went on business trips, about 5% for study purposes, and 22% for other reasons.
About half of Ukrainians would like to visit Lviv; among them one in five plans to do so already in the coming months, 22% within a year, 22% within the next three years, and another 37% in the more distant future.
It should be noted that people who have already been to Lviv are much more inclined to visit the city again. Thus, 81% of those who have already been in the city would like to visit Lviv, compared to 40% of those who have not yet been there.
Lviv was visited most often by residents of the West (about half had been there during the last three years), and of the Center and the North (about 20%).
Lviv was mainly visited by young people aged 18–39. They also have the strongest desire to visit the city again. - Most often, Lviv is associated by Ukrainians with beautiful, old architecture (41%). This statement dominates in assessments in all regions without exception. However, 4% think that architectural monuments in Lviv are in very poor condition, and 4% think that besides looking at architecture there is nothing else to do there.
For almost one in five respondents, Lviv is a city whose residents are patriotic, preserve Ukrainian traditions, and celebrate Christmas, Easter, and other traditional holidays well. For 17% of respondents it is a city of cozy restaurants and cafés, as well as tasty sweets and coffee.
Almost 15% consider Lviv the cultural capital of Ukraine. For 14%, it is a well-kept, clean, European city (less than 1% consider Lviv a dirty, neglected city).
14% of respondents consider Lviv a city of tasty beer. 7% consider Lviv the most beautiful city in Ukraine. - About 13% of respondents believe that the city’s residents react very aggressively to the Russian language; 7% think that “Banderites” live in Lviv. 12% believe the city has a more Polish than Ukrainian spirit. 5% consider Lviv residents very arrogant and condescending. 4% think that Lviv lives off the money earned by Eastern Ukraine, and 3% believe it would have been better if Western Ukraine had not been annexed to the USSR in 1939.
- For the Donbas, Lviv on the one hand is a city with beautiful architecture (24%) and where Christmas and Easter are well celebrated (11%). On the other hand, one in ten residents of Donbas believes that “Banderites” live in Lviv, who react aggressively to the Russian language (16%) and live off the money earned by the East (11%).
For 6%, Lviv means bad roads; for 4%, a city where water is supplied irregularly. - 18% of respondents have no idea about Lviv at all (among those who have been to Lviv this is only 0.3%, among those who have not been to the city – 22%). Residents of the Donbas are the least informed about Lviv: 21% have no idea about it, and another 21% did not name any statement that would match their idea of the city.
The higher the level of education of respondents, the better their understanding of the city.
It should be noted that for respondents who have already been to Lviv, both the advantages of the city and its shortcomings (bad roads, lack of water, etc.) became more evident.
Respondents under 40 years of age more often highlighted the cultural advantages of the city. For them, Lviv is also a city of entertainment: cozy restaurants and cafés, tasty sweets, coffee, and beer. At the same time, in the assessments of older people, stereotypical negatives (“Banderites,” language, etc.) are more strongly present.
Women and men perceive Lviv almost identically, except for one statement: men twice as often spoke of Lviv as a city of tasty beer.
Press
Citizens' attitude to EURO-2012 in Ukraine: December 2009
10.12.2009
- On the eve of UEFA’s decision on the format of Ukraine’s participation in EURO-2012, interest in the championship among Ukrainians is growing.
As of early December, about 55% of respondents are against the idea of cancelling EURO-2012 in Ukraine. Only 12% support this idea. At the same time, 23% of respondents do not care whether EURO will take place in Ukraine or not, and another 10% are undecided. - Compared to August 2009, in December the number of those undecided on this issue decreased by more than half. As a result, the number of those who oppose cancelling EURO-2012 in Ukraine increased from 46% to 55%. At the same time, although slightly, the number of those indifferent to whether EURO will take place in Ukraine or not increased — from 21% to 23%, as did the number of those who support cancelling the championship — from 9% to 12%.
- Compared to August, support for holding EURO-2012 increased the most in the West — from 50% to 63%, in the Donbas — from 41% to 57%, and in the Center — from 45% to 58%.
- It should be noted that in the Donbas the number of those indifferent to the championship also decreased; in the East it did not change; in the remaining regions it increased.
- As in August, the South remains the most neutral toward EURO-2012: only 36% are against cancelling EURO and the same 36% are indifferent to whether EURO will take place in Ukraine or not.
- The number of those indifferent to the championship has generally increased among older people.
- Youth remain the most enthusiastic supporters of holding the European Football Championship in Ukraine.
- By education, the same trends remain as in August: the higher the level of education of respondents, the fewer indifferent people and the more supporters of EURO there are.
- In villages, EURO-2012 continues to be of less interest than in cities.
- Unlike men, among women the number of those indifferent has increased. The number of men who are against cancelling EURO-2012 increased from 53% to 66%, and among women — from 41% to 46%.
- As in August, Ukrainians continue to believe that R. Akhmetov (39.6%) has done the most for the successful hosting of EURO-2012 in Ukraine.
19.1% believe H. Surkis did the most, 8.1% — Y. Tymoshenko, 7.8% — V. Yanukovych, 5.6% — Y. Chervonenko, 5% — V. Yushchenko, 3.6% — Y. Pavlenko, 3% — O. Yaroslavskyi, 1.9% — V. Lytvyn, 1.2% — A. Yatseniuk, less than 1% — I. Vasiunyk and M. Lubkivskyi. At the same time, 7.3% believe that none of the politicians did anything for the successful holding of EURO-2012 in Ukraine, and another 39% were unable to decide on this issue. - Unlike other politicians and EURO-2012 officials, whose indicators slightly declined (including H. Surkis), support for R. Akhmetov increased slightly.
- More than half of those who are against cancelling the championship in Ukraine believe that R. Akhmetov did the most for EURO.
Press
Attitude of Lviv region residents to EURO-2012
09.12.2009
- About 73% of residents of Lviv Oblast are against the idea of refusing to hold EURO-2012 in Lviv, while only 7% support this idea. At the same time, for 16% of respondents it does not matter whether EURO will take place in Lviv or not, and another 4% were unable to decide. About two thirds believe that Lviv will host matches of EURO-2012, 17% do not believe so, and 16% were unable to decide.
- About 38% are satisfied with the work of Prime Minister Yuliia Tymoshenko in preparing for the championship, 32% with the work of President Viktor Yushchenko, and 16% with the work of the Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada Volodymyr Lytvyn. Among local leaders, the highest satisfaction with preparations for the championship is with Andrii Sadovyi (about 40%). About 28% are satisfied with the work of the Head of the Oblast State Administration Mykhailo Kmit, and about a quarter with the Head of the Oblast Council Mykola Senyk. It is interesting that the work of the Prime Minister, the President, and the Head of the Oblast State Administration is evaluated better in villages than in Lviv, while the work of the city mayor is evaluated better in the oblast center.
- In the opinion of the majority, the highest chances of hosting matches of the 2012 European Football Championship are for Lviv (58%), Kyiv (56%), and Donetsk (52%). The chances of Kharkiv were rated by residents of Lviv Oblast more than twice as low (22%). These results were largely influenced by a high level of local patriotism and by wishful thinking. Thus, respondents with higher education (mostly residents of Lviv) rated the chances of Kyiv and Donetsk highest and, significantly more than others, the chances of Kharkiv. Rural residents with lower education and of older age gave preference to Lviv. At the same time, rural residents more than Lviv city residents support the idea of keeping EURO (76% versus 69%), but they believe less that the championship will actually be held in Lviv (65% versus 70%).
- Supporters of Yuliia Tymoshenko and Viktor Yushchenko most strongly defend the idea of holding EURO in Lviv. They also most strongly believe that Lviv will host the championship matches. The greatest skeptics are voters of Serhii Tihipko and Volodymyr Lytvyn.
- For residents of Lviv Oblast, EURO-2012 is above all about improving the quality of roads, airports, and hotels (55%), new jobs (50%), the prestige of the oblast (47%), and the development of the city and the oblast (46%). Thirty-nine percent believe that EURO opens opportunities to present Lviv Oblast to tourists in a better light, 36% see it as a test of the professional competence of the local authorities, and 30% see it as an opportunity for the city and the oblast to earn additional funds. Another quarter believe it is an additional impulse for the development of sport and culture in the region. Only 6% think that EURO-2012 is not important for Lviv Oblast.
- It is interesting that for Lviv city EURO means better roads, urban development, and additional earnings, while for villages and other towns of the oblast it is primarily a matter of prestige, new jobs, and tourism development. Men have significantly higher expectations regarding EURO than women. The younger and more educated the respondents are, the higher their expectations.
Press
Electoral moods of Lviv region residents: November 2009
08.12.2009
- Residents of Lviv Oblast have fairly high expectations regarding the presidential elections: 84% are convinced that any presidential election should change the situation in the country for the better, and 54% expect positive changes as a result of the 2010 presidential election.
- The highest expectations about the elections are among supporters of Viktor Yanukovych, Yuliya Tymoshenko and Viktor Yushchenko.
- 56% of residents of Lviv Oblast say that they will definitely take part in the presidential election, and 31% say they will probably take part.
- The higher the expectations about the election, the greater the willingness to participate: among respondents who expect positive changes as a result of the election, 95% intend to vote; among those who do not expect changes, 75% intend to vote.
- Residents of Lviv Oblast believe most strongly in the victory of Yuliya Tymoshenko — 42% of respondents expect that Y. Tymoshenko will become the next President of Ukraine, 21% expect V. Yanukovych, 12% expect V. Yushchenko, and 6% expect A. Yatsenyuk.
- At the same time, 38% of respondents believe that Y. Tymoshenko will take first place in the first round, 32% second place, and 8% third place. 29% believe that V. Yanukovych will take first place in the first round, 28% second place, and 18% third place.
- Half of V. Yushchenko’s supporters are convinced that he will take first place in the first round and become the next President. 15% predict second place for him, and another 15% third place. One third of A. Yatsenyuk’s supporters believe that he will win the first round and the election overall, 11% believe he will take second place in the first round, and one third predict third place.
- The leader of voter sympathies in the oblast is Y. Tymoshenko (26%). This is followed by V. Yushchenko (18%), A. Yatsenyuk (10%), O. Tyahnybok (7%), V. Yanukovych (6%), S. Tihipko (2%), and V. Lytvyn (2%). It is noteworthy that “V. Against-all” is supported by 0.5%, and 10% are ready to vote “against all.” About 11% are undecided.
- Among respondents who intend to take part in the election, the leading five are: Y. Tymoshenko – 29%, V. Yushchenko – 20%, A. Yatsenyuk – 12%, O. Tyahnybok – 7%, V. Yanukovych – 6%.
- Y. Tymoshenko, V. Yushchenko and A. Yatsenyuk have higher support in villages, while O. Tyahnybok and V. Yanukovych have higher support in Lviv city. Y. Tymoshenko and V. Yushchenko have higher support among women, O. Tyahnybok among men.
- V. Yushchenko is mainly supported by less educated citizens and the poorest citizens, A. Yatsenyuk by more educated citizens. Y. Tymoshenko leads among citizens with middle incomes.
- If V. Yanukovych and Y. Tymoshenko reach the second round, about 10% of Lviv Oblast residents would vote for the Party of Regions leader, and about 60% for the BYuT leader.
- If V. Yanukovych and A. Yatsenyuk reach the second round, about 10% would vote for Yanukovych and 64% for Yatsenyuk.
- If V. Yanukovych and V. Yushchenko reach the second round, about 12% would vote for Yanukovych and 54% for Yushchenko.
- The better result for A. Yatsenyuk in the hypothetical second round is ensured by higher support among V. Yushchenko’s supporters. The worse result for V. Yushchenko is due to decreased support among supporters of Y. Tymoshenko and A. Yatsenyuk.
- In hypothetical matchups between Tymoshenko and Yatsenyuk and Tymoshenko and Yushchenko, the BYuT leader wins: 41% vs 33% and 43% vs 30% respectively.
- Voter sympathies in Lviv Oblast for parliamentary elections are distributed as follows: BYuT – 28%, Our Ukraine (Yushchenko) – 19%, Yatsenyuk Bloc – 10%, Svoboda – 9%, Party of Regions – 6%, Lytvyn Bloc – 2%, Tihipko Bloc – 1%. 8% are undecided, 6% would vote against all.
- It should be noted that in local elections support for Svoboda is significantly higher than at the national level. In elections to the Lviv Oblast Council almost 16% are ready to vote for this party — nearly twice as many as in parliamentary elections. The leaders for the oblast council are BYuT – 24% and Our Ukraine – 16%. Yatsenyuk Bloc (9%) and Party of Regions (6%) also pass the 3% threshold.
- In terms of full trust, Y. Tymoshenko leads in the oblast (19% fully trust, 28% rather trust), followed by V. Yushchenko (12% and 28%), A. Yatsenyuk (12% and 38%), and O. Tyahnybok (9% and 32%).
- The greatest distrust in the oblast is toward O. Moroz (91%), V. Yanukovych (88%), and I. Bohoslovska (81%).
- Residents of Lviv Oblast rate the Prime Minister’s work in overcoming the flu epidemic higher (46%) than the President’s (36%). However, electoral preferences dominate these judgments. 75% of Yushchenko’s supporters rate his work positively, while supporters of Yatsenyuk and Tymoshenko rate it twice as low. 80% of Tymoshenko’s supporters rate her work positively, while Yatsenyuk’s and Yushchenko’s supporters do so twice as rarely. Both Tymoshenko’s and Yushchenko’s handling of the flu epidemic is rated much better in villages than in Lviv city.
- Among local authorities, residents are most satisfied with Andriy Sadovyi (10% fully satisfied, 33% rather satisfied). They are somewhat more satisfied with the governor Mykola Kmit (4% fully, 28% rather) than with the head of the oblast council Myroslav Senyk (4% fully, 25% rather). Kmit and Senyk are rated similarly in villages and in Lviv, while Sadovyi is rated higher in Lviv city.
- Regarding national identity issues, if a referendum were held, only 7% would vote for granting Russian the status of a state language, and 84% would vote against. Even among Yanukovych supporters only about half support raising the status of Russian. Over 90% of supporters of Yatsenyuk, Yushchenko, Tyahnybok, and Tymoshenko would vote against.
- Only 19% of Lviv Oblast residents support joining the Single Economic Space. Among them are only about 10% of Yushchenko, Tyahnybok and Tymoshenko supporters, about 25% of Yatsenyuk and Tihipko supporters, and over 60% of Yanukovych supporters.
- 60% support joining NATO, while about a quarter oppose it. The strongest opponents are Yanukovych supporters (60% against).
- 74% would support joining the European Union, and only 10% are against. The strongest supporters are voters of Tyahnybok (85%), Tymoshenko (80%), and Yatsenyuk (79%).
- Given that only a quarter of Yatsenyuk’s supporters back joining the Single Economic Space, while 79% support EU membership, 67% NATO, and 94% oppose giving Russian state language status, it is fully predictable that they will have difficulty accepting Yatsenyuk’s new policy initiatives such as the “Eastern European Project.”
Press
Tastes of Ukrainians regarding cinema and music (+ bonus favorite pets: cats vs dogs)
24.11.2009
Cinema preferences
- The most popular film genres among Ukrainians are comedies (45%), melodramas (31%), and historical films (28%). These are followed by adventure films (24%), action movies (16%), and documentaries (15%).
Every tenth Ukrainian enjoys science fiction. Dramas are popular among 8%, thrillers among 7%, horror films among 5%, and erotic films among 4%.
Only 4% of Ukrainians say they do not like movies at all. - With age, interest declines in comedies, adventure films, action movies, science fiction, horror, and erotic films, while interest increases in melodramas, historical films, and documentaries.
- Among more educated citizens, comedies, documentaries, science fiction, historical and adventure films are more popular. People with middle levels of education prefer melodramas and action films.
- Documentaries are twice as popular in cities as in rural areas. In general, people in cities like movies more. Melodramas and action films are watched equally in cities and villages.
- Melodramas are six times more popular among women than men, while action films are six times more popular among men. Women also prefer comedies and dramas more than men. All other genres are more popular among men: they watch twice as much science fiction, thrillers, erotic and documentary films, and 1.5 times more historical, adventure and horror films.
- The greatest interest in cinema is shown by couples living in civil partnerships. They prefer comedies, adventure and historical films, action movies and documentaries. Unmarried people prefer science fiction, thrillers and mysticism. Married and divorced people, especially the latter, mostly prefer melodramas.
- Another trend: the more children in a family, the less popular comedies and adventure films become, while melodramas grow in popularity.
- Documentaries are most popular among voters of Viktor Yushchenko and Volodymyr Lytvyn. Yushchenko’s voters also prefer historical films, as do voters of Serhiy Tihipko. Interestingly, Yushchenko’s voters do not like horror films and almost never watch erotic, mystical, or science-fiction movies, while these genres are very popular among Tihipko’s voters.
- Yuliya Tymoshenko’s voters prefer melodramas and comedies.
The greatest love for comedies belongs to Viktor Yanukovych’s supporters.
Adventure films and action movies are most popular among voters of Arseniy Yatsenyuk and Viktor Yanukovych.
Music preferences
- The most popular music styles among Ukrainians are pop music (32%), folk music (25%), and chanson (22%).
- Every fifth Ukrainian likes classical music. Dance/disco music is listened to by 13%, romances by 12%, club music by 9%, rock by 7%, bard music by 6%, religious music by 5%, jazz by 5%, rap by 3%, and blues by 3%.
- Heavy metal and reggae are the least popular genres.
- Several clear trends emerge. The older people are, the more they prefer folk music; the younger, the more they prefer pop music. About one third of young people like club music, and almost one fifth like rock. Older people prefer romances and religious music.
- Chanson, classical and bard music are most popular among middle-aged people.
- More educated respondents prefer classical music, romances, rock, and jazz, in addition to pop music. Among the least educated, folk music dominates.Religious music is most popular among Greek Catholics, and least popular among believers of the Kyiv and Moscow Patriarchates of the Orthodox Church.Folk music is twice as popular in villages as in cities, while classical music, rock, jazz, and chanson are far more popular in cities.
- Men and women differ strongly in music tastes. Women prefer pop, folk, dance music, classical and romances. Men prefer chanson, bard music, jazz, rock, rap and electronic music.Club music, rock, and rap are most popular among unmarried respondents without children.
- Pop music is most popular among civil-partnership couples, who also like bard music and jazz.
- Married people prefer folk and classical music, as well as chanson, and also enjoy dance and pop music.
- By political preference:
- Tymoshenko’s voters prefer folk, classical and club music
- Yanukovych’s voters prefer pop, chanson and dance music
- Yatsenyuk’s voters prefer chanson, dance music and rock
- Yushchenko’s voters most strongly prefer folk and religious music
- Tihipko’s voters prefer classical, dance music, romances and jazz
- Lytvyn’s voters (more than any others) prefer classical music, followed by chanson, though some also enjoy club music
Pets
- Almost two-thirds of Ukrainians keep pets. The most popular are cats (41%) and dogs (41%).
More than half of Ukrainians keep both a dog and a cat.
About 6% keep birds, 3% keep fish, and 2% keep rodents. - The more children a family has, the more likely it is to have pets. At the same time, almost 30% of pet owners would prefer to have no animals at all.
- Only 14% of rural residents have no pets, compared to 48% in cities.
Dogs are more popular in villages, cats in cities.
Women prefer cats; men prefer dogs. - People in civil partnerships are more likely to keep dogs, while married and especially divorced people more often keep cats.
- In general, Ukrainians are more loyal to dogs than to cats: people who have cats are more willing to get a dog than dog owners are to get a cat.
- Tymoshenko’s and Lytvyn’s voters are more likely to keep cats, while most other voters prefer dogs.
Pet ownership is highest among supporters of Tymoshenko, Yushchenko and Yanukovych. - Notably, Yatsenyuk’s and Tihipko’s voters are the most likely to have no pets at all and also the most likely to say they do not want any animals at home.
Press
JOY RATING
17.11.2009
- Some skeptics today claim that there is no joy or happiness in our lives because of the crisis, the epidemic, and other hardships. The sociological group Rating Group disagreed with this view and decided to compile and present a special Joy Rating based on data from a nationwide survey. The team also had its own reason to celebrate, as this was their 500th survey, which they wished to share with the public.
- Almost 70% of Ukrainians consider themselves happy, including 27.1% who say they are definitely happy and 42.5% who say they are probably happy. Nearly 20% consider themselves unhappy, while about 10% were unable to say whether they are happy or not. In terms of how often people feel joy, 28.5% of respondents say they experience joy every day, 24.4% several times a week, and 13.6% several times a month. In total, about two thirds experience joy at least once a month. About 20% say they rarely feel joy in life, and 12% were undecided.
- The survey shows a strong link between happiness and joy: the happiest Ukrainians feel joy every day. In the West, 40% of residents say they feel joy daily, the highest share among regions, while in Donbas this figure does not exceed 20%, and in the Center it is only 13%. Joy declines with age: nearly half of respondents aged 18–29 feel joy every day, while among those aged 50 and over, especially pensioners, only about 20% do so. At the same time, the share of those who rarely feel joy increases from 9% among those aged 18–39 to 35% among those aged 60 and older.
- Education also matters: the lower the level of education, the less joy people report. Married respondents feel joy less often than those who are unmarried or living in a civil partnership. The greatest sources of joy for Ukrainians are family, mentioned by more than 60%, followed by children at 47% and friends at 37%. Completing the top five are watching television at 32% and money at 27%. Almost 20% enjoy nature, and one in six Ukrainians finds joy in travel. Ukrainians enjoy receiving gifts more than giving them, and vacations and holidays more than work or study. For 13% household chores bring joy, and for 10% pets do so. Among the arts, music brings joy to 16% and cinema to 14%, while theater brings joy to only 2%. Books bring joy to 12% of Ukrainians. One in ten finds joy in food, and one in ten in sex, which ranks higher than prayer, shopping, sports, cheering for a favorite team, singing, or alcohol.
- As people age, enjoyment from friends, music, vacations, travel, cinema, birthdays, sex, shopping, sports, the internet, dancing, studying, and money declines. As family and children appear, some pleasures become less relevant or inaccessible, while others grow in importance. The joys that become more important with age include family, children, watching television, being in nature, household chores, books, pets, prayer, singing, and solitude. Enjoyment from work remains stable and even increases in middle age, as do food and alcohol. Attitudes toward gifts remain largely unchanged over time.
- The more children people have, the more joy they derive from them: only 8% of childless respondents find joy in children, compared to 53% of those with at least one child and 74% of those with four or more. Among unmarried respondents and those in civil partnerships, fewer than 40% derive joy from family, while 70% of married respondents name family as a key source of joy. Prayer brings the most joy to believers of the UAOC and Greek Catholics, and the least to followers of the UOC of the Kyiv and Moscow Patriarchates. In the West, one in five respondents finds joy in prayer, compared to about 4% in the South and Donbas and only 3% in the North.
- Men more often than women derive joy from friends, television, the internet, vacations, work, sports, victories of their favorite teams, alcohol, and money. Men also enjoy sex about twice as much as women, while women enjoy shopping about three times more than men. Women’s joy rankings also include family, children, household chores, books, pets, and prayer. Women enjoy gifts more than men, both receiving and giving them. However, both men and women enjoy nature, music, travel, cinema, food, and dancing to similar degrees.
- The higher the level of education, the more joy respondents derive from music, theater, books, travel, work, sex, shopping, the internet, and learning, while the opposite is true for prayer. Analysis shows that people who enjoy family also enjoy children, gift giving, household chores, pets, and prayer. Friends are associated with the internet, sports, alcohol, birthdays, music, and learning. Television is linked with alcohol, food, cinema, and receiving gifts. Money is associated with sex and shopping. Nature is linked to solitude, theater, household chores, dancing, and church. Music is associated with learning, theater, cinema, dancing, the internet, and birthdays. Books are linked to solitude, theater, cinema, and learning. Sex is associated with dancing, sports, the internet, birthdays, and learning.
- According to the survey, 3% of respondents have sex every day, 20% several times a week, and 13% several times a month. Nineteen percent say they do not have sex at all, and 33% refused to answer. This means that only 36% of Ukrainians aged 18 and over, and 54% among those aged 18–49, say they are sexually active. The study also shows that sex increases joy: the more frequently people have sex, the more often they feel joy, with several times a week being optimal. Sexual activity is highest in the South, Donbas, and the East, and lowest in the West and Center. Men are one and a half times more sexually active than women, with the most active age group being 23–37. The most regular sexual activity is found among couples in civil partnerships, especially those without children.
- Summing up, Rating Group encourages everyone to change the statistics by rediscovering sources of joy across generations.
Press
Ukrainian football fans: who are they and what do they think about the national team and leading clubs?
04.11.2009
- About one third of Ukraine’s adult population identify themselves as football supporters: 5% consider themselves fans, 10% active supporters, and another 18% non-active supporters. Football has a clear unifying potential: the highest share of supporters is found in Donbas, the Centre, and the West of the country.
- Urban residents are more likely to identify as football supporters (35%) than rural residents (27%). The highest level of involvement is among young people aged 18–29 (41%), while the lowest is among those aged 60+ (25%). The gender gap is substantial: 54% of men and only 15% of women say they are football supporters.
- Football is also linked to family status and lifestyle. The highest share of supporters is among unmarried people (46%) and those living together without formal marriage (39%). Among married respondents the figure is 33%, among the divorced 23%, and among widowed respondents 18%. The more children there are in a household, the fewer football supporters it tends to have. The same pattern applies to social factors: higher education and better material well-being are associated with higher interest in football.
- Politically, football supporters are more likely than others to support Viktor Yanukovych, Yuliya Tymoshenko, Volodymyr Lytvyn, Oleh Tyahnybok and Anatolii Hrytsenko, and less likely to support Arsenii Yatseniuk, Viktor Yushchenko and Petro Symonenko.
- Overall assessments of Ukrainian football in 2009 were positive. Sixty-four percent of supporters rated the performance of the national team positively, and 59% approved of the work of head coach Oleksii Mykhailychenko. The most positive evaluations came from respondents in the East and West, and the most negative from Donbas. A majority of respondents (57%) believed the national team should be coached by a Ukrainian specialist; 21% preferred a European coach and only 3% a Russian one. Those who were dissatisfied with Mykhailychenko were more likely to favor a foreign coach.
- Eighty-two percent of respondents had a positive attitude toward Andriy Shevchenko’s return to Dynamo Kyiv. Support was highest in the South, North, West and Centre, and lowest in the East and Donbas.
- Sixty-two percent believed Ukrainian clubs could repeat their previous season’s successes in international competitions. At the beginning of October, supporters rated Shakhtar Donetsk’s chances of advancing from its group higher than those of Dynamo Kyiv. It should be noted that at the time of the survey (3–12 October), respondents did not yet know that Shakhtar would defeat Toulouse and secure a place in the playoffs, or that Dynamo would draw with Inter in the Champions League.
- At that time, 51% believed Dynamo Kyiv would reach the next round of the Champions League (by finishing first or second in its group), while nearly 70% believed Shakhtar Donetsk would advance to the next round of the Europa League. Shakhtar’s chances were rated highest in the East, Donbas, Centre and South; Dynamo’s chances in the East, Centre and North. Supporters in Donbas were significantly more confident in Shakhtar’s success in particular than in the overall success of Ukrainian football.
Press
Ukrainians do not want a BUT-PR coalition, but this is the format of the majority they predict in the Verkhovna Rada of the new convocation
22.10.2009
- According to a nationwide survey conducted in October 2009, a plurality of Ukrainians (39.6%) do not believe that a coalition of parliamentary factions with more than 226 MPs will be formed in the Verkhovna Rada of the current convocation. Only 27.2% believe that such a coalition will be created, while 33.2% were unable to decide. Skepticism about the possibility of forming an effective parliamentary coalition is strongest in Donbas, the Center, and the West, while respondents in the North are the most optimistic. Among supporters of political parties, those more likely to believe such a coalition will be formed are supporters of BYuT, Nasha Ukraina, and the Lytvyn Bloc, whereas supporters of the Communist Party of Ukraine and the Yatsenyuk Bloc tend not to believe this.
- For a relative plurality of Ukrainians (18.1%), the most optimal coalition in the new Verkhovna Rada would be an alliance of the Party of Regions, the Communist Party of Ukraine, and the Lytvyn Bloc. The second most preferred option is an alliance between the Yulia Tymoshenko Bloc and the Yatsenyuk Bloc, supported by 11.7% of respondents. An alliance between the Party of Regions and BYuT is supported by 8.5%, while 8.3% support a coalition between the Party of Regions and the Yatsenyuk Bloc. At the same time, the most likely coalition in the new Verkhovna Rada, according to a relative plurality (15.5%), is an alliance between the Party of Regions and BYuT.
- Among party supporters, views differ markedly. Forty-three percent of Party of Regions supporters and 60% of Communist Party of Ukraine supporters believe the best coalition would consist of the Party of Regions, the Communist Party of Ukraine, and the Lytvyn Bloc. Only 11% of Party of Regions supporters think that an alliance with BYuT would be the best option, yet 19% believe that such a coalition will in fact be formed. Only 14% of BYuT supporters support an alliance with the Party of Regions, although 21% expect such a coalition to emerge. Thus, both BYuT and Party of Regions supporters generally oppose an alliance between these two forces, yet a relative plurality in both camps believe that this is what will actually happen in the new Verkhovna Rada.
- Most BYuT supporters (36%) believe their party should ally with the Yatsenyuk Bloc, and the same view is held by most Yatsenyuk Bloc supporters (35%). At the same time, 21% of BYuT supporters favor a return to the previous coalition format of BYuT, the Lytvyn Bloc, and Nasha Ukraina. Meanwhile, 18% of Yatsenyuk Bloc supporters favor an alliance with the Party of Regions, a position also shared by 19% of Party of Regions supporters.
Press
Electoral sentiment of the population of Ukraine: October 2009
20.10.2009
- According to the results of a nationwide survey conducted in October 2009, voter activity increased over the previous two months. Thus, 57.5% of respondents stated that they would definitely take part in the presidential election (49% in August), while 26.2% said they would rather take part (31% in August).
- The presidential sympathy ratings are led by Viktor Yanukovych and Yuliya Tymoshenko. Over the past two months, both front-runners have strengthened their positions. The greatest growth was recorded for Yu. Tymoshenko (from 15.4% to 19.4%), and slightly less for V. Yanukovych (from 28.9% to 31.1%). Both politicians are working on mobilizing their core electorate. Support for Yu. Tymoshenko increased across the country, most notably in the West and the North. In turn, V. Yanukovych increased his support in Donbas, the South, the Center, and the North, while losing some ground in the East.
- Support for A. Yatsenyuk fell from 12.3% to 8%. The leader of the “Front of Change” suffered the greatest losses in the West, where his rating dropped from 24% to 13%. Accordingly, for the first time in the past six months Yu. Tymoshenko topped the sympathy rankings in the West. In addition, A. Yatsenyuk lost support in the East, the South, and the North.
- An increase in support for S. Tihipko was recorded, whose rating has almost tripled since August (from 1% to 2.9%). The largest progress was seen in the East, where his rating rose from 1.7% to 6.4%, as well as in the Center, the North, and Donbas. As a result, S. Tihipko has nearly caught up with V. Yushchenko and P. Symonenko and slightly overtakes V. Lytvyn.
- A slight improvement in the positions of V. Yushchenko was also recorded (from 2.6% to 3.4%), primarily in the West, along with a slight decline in the positions of V. Lytvyn (from 3.7% to 2.2%), mainly in the North. In virtually every region there is a tendency toward a decrease in the number of respondents intending to vote for so-called “other” candidates, indicating a crystallization of voters around the main favorites.
- The distribution of votes among those who intend to take part in the presidential election is as follows: V. Yanukovych – 35.6%, Yu. Tymoshenko – 22.1%, A. Yatsenyuk – 9.1%, P. Symonenko – 3.9%, V. Yushchenko – 3.8%, S. Tihipko – 3.3%, and V. Lytvyn – 2.3%. The remainder account for 4.6%, “against all” – 7.2%, and undecided – 7.9%.
- In response to the question “Who would you vote for if the second round featured V. Yanukovych and Yu. Tymoshenko?”, almost 40% of respondents favored the leader of the Party of Regions and 30% favored the leader of BYuT. It should be noted that in August the gap between these two candidates in a second round was 12.5%, while in October it narrowed to 10%.
- Regarding the alternative pair “Yanukovych–Yatsenyuk”, the opposite trend is observed: in August the difference was 10.5%, while in October it widened to 13% (39% versus 26%) in favor of V. Yanukovych. In the hypothetical pair “Yatsenyuk–Tymoshenko”, Yu. Tymoshenko prevails in October with 27% to 23%, whereas in August A. Yatsenyuk had led with 23% to 19%.
- No Ukrainian politician has a positive trust–distrust balance. In the trust ranking, V. Yanukovych leads (41% trust him, 53% do not). The highest trust in the leader of the Party of Regions is recorded in Donbas and the South (69% and 62% respectively), and the lowest in the West (16%), where 79% of respondents distrust him.
- Yu. Tymoshenko and A. Yatsenyuk have nearly equal overall trust levels, at about 31% each. However, almost twice as many respondents fully trust the BYuT leader compared to the leader of the “Front of Change” (15% versus 9%). At the same time, more respondents distrust Yu. Tymoshenko than A. Yatsenyuk (64% versus 56%).
- V. Lytvyn is trusted by 30% (only 4% trust him fully) and distrusted by 60%. The highest trust in the Speaker of Parliament is in the North and the South (38% and 36% respectively), and the lowest in Donbas (18%). V. Yushchenko is trusted by 9% (only 3% fully), while 86% do not trust him. The highest trust in the incumbent President is in the West and the North (24% and 10% respectively), while in other regions trust ranges from 1% in Donbas to 5% in the Center.
- Party ratings mirror the trends in support for presidential candidates. The distribution of votes among those who intend to take part in the parliamentary elections is as follows: Party of Regions – 35.8%, BYuT – 21.5%, Yatsenyuk Bloc – 7.8%, Communist Party of Ukraine – 3.9%, Our Ukraine – 3.1%, Tihipko Bloc – 2.5%, and Lytvyn Bloc – 1.9%. Other parties and blocs account for 4.8%, “against all” – 8%, and undecided – 10.7%.
Press
EURO-2012: Ukrainians expect more from the authorities (August 2009)
03.09.2009
- When speaking about the importance of EURO-2012 for Ukraine, most respondents believe it is primarily a matter of national prestige (42.3%), the creation of new jobs through infrastructure development for the championship (40.3%), and improvements in the quality of roads, airports, and hotels (35.9%). About one third of respondents also believe that hosting EURO-2012 gives Ukraine an opportunity to earn additional revenues (32.7%), to present Ukraine in a more positive light to Europe and the world (32.5%), and to ensure the development of host cities (29.8%). Somewhat fewer respondents pointed to other reasons for the importance of EURO-2012: nearly one quarter see it as a test of whether Ukraine is a civilized European state, while 18.6% believe it will provide an additional boost to sports and 16.5% to culture. Almost every sixth Ukrainian believes that EURO-2012 gives Ukraine new opportunities to join the European Union. Only 8.8% of respondents think that EURO-2012 is not important for Ukraine, and another 8.4% were unable to decide.
- It should be noted that in Eastern Ukraine EURO-2012 is primarily associated with new jobs, in Donbas with the development of host cities, in the South with the opportunity to earn additional money, while respondents in the West, Center, and North focus mainly on national prestige. Ukrainians are generally opposed to abandoning the idea of hosting EURO-2012. Almost half of respondents (46.4%) tend to view such an отказ negatively, while only 9.3% would support giving up the championship. At the same time, one in five respondents is indifferent to whether EURO-2012 takes place in Ukraine, and another quarter were unable to decide. Support for EURO-2012 is highest in the North and East and lowest in the South. There is also a clear pattern: the younger the respondents, and the higher their education and material status, the more likely they are to support EURO-2012. Respondents of Ukrainian nationality support hosting EURO-2012 more than Russians. Women are almost twice as likely as men to be indifferent to the championship.
- Ukrainians believe that the central authorities bear more responsibility for organizing EURO-2012 (35.1%) than local authorities (4.4%), although half of respondents believe that both levels of government share equal responsibility. When asked who is currently coping better with preparations for EURO-2012, 29.6% said that neither the central nor local authorities are coping well, 22.8% said that both are coping, 15.9% credited only local authorities, and 13.2% only the central authorities. Respondents in the Center and North assessed the performance of the central authorities more positively than that of local authorities, while in other regions the opposite pattern prevailed.
- According to respondents, Kyiv and Donetsk are the cities best able to represent Ukraine at EURO-2012 and are most likely to host matches. A clear majority (63.2%) believe that Kyiv is the city that can best represent Ukraine, while Donetsk follows with 39.6%. About a quarter of respondents named Kharkiv and Lviv as cities that could best represent Ukraine (23% and 22.6% respectively). As for the likelihood of actually hosting matches, Kyiv’s chances were rated slightly lower than its potential (56.7%), Donetsk’s slightly higher (43.1%), while Kharkiv and Lviv were rated at roughly the same level (21.4% and 20.6%). Residents of the West and East believe that their own cities, Lviv and Kharkiv, together with Kyiv, can best represent Ukraine, although they rate Donetsk’s chances of actually hosting the championship higher.
- The level of Ukraine’s readiness for EURO-2012 was rated by citizens at 2.4 out of 5, while Poland’s readiness was rated at 3.4. Respondents in the North and Donbas assessed Ukraine’s readiness higher than those in the West and South. Another trend is that the higher the level of education of respondents, the more critical their assessments were. Among the obstacles hindering preparation for EURO-2012, respondents primarily named traditional domestic problems rather than those emphasized by UEFA inspectors. The main obstacles were the economic crisis (61.2%), political crisis (54.4%), and corruption in government (50.5%). Infrastructure problems were mentioned less often: poor-quality roads (39%), slow stadium construction (30.3%), lack of modern airports (17.5%), insufficient quality hotels (17.2%), difficult urban transport (14.3%), and railway transport problems (8.8%). Residents of Donbas see the economic and political crises as the main obstacles, residents of the South emphasize corruption, while the West and North focus on slow stadium construction. Donbas highlights poor roads, and the East the lack of hotels and airports.
- Forty-three percent of Ukrainians do not believe that Ukraine will meet most UEFA requirements by 30 November, while only 25.7% believe this will happen. Optimism is highest in the North and lowest in the South and Donbas. Ukrainians rate the chances of meeting UEFA requirements by 30 November about one third higher than Russians do, and the higher the education level, the more optimistic respondents are. Thirty-eight percent of respondents believe that R. Akhmetov has done the most to ensure the successful hosting of EURO-2012 in Ukraine; at least 30% in every region named him, except in Donbas where nearly 60% did so. G. Surkis was named by 21.6%. Other figures were mentioned less often: Y. Tymoshenko (9.2%), V. Yanukovych (8.3%), Y. Chervonenko (7.5%), V. Yushchenko (7%), Y. Pavlenko (5.6%), A. Yatsenyuk (2.5%), V. Lytvyn (2.4%), I. Vasiunyk (0.9%), and others (0.9%). At the same time, 11.6% believe that none of these politicians has done anything for EURO-2012, and 34% were unable to answer. If EURO-2012 were not to take place in Ukraine, most respondents believe that V. Yushchenko (57.8%) and Y. Tymoshenko (42%) would bear the greatest responsibility, while G. Surkis (7.9%), Y. Pavlenko (7%), V. Lytvyn (2.8%), and I. Vasiunyk (2.7%) were mentioned much less often.
Press
The most attractive large cities of Ukraine for tourists
27.08.2009
- Two thirds of surveyed citizens named Kyiv as the most attractive city for tourists, half named Lviv, and more than one third named Odesa. Other large cities of Ukraine did not receive more than 10% of preferences. While Kyiv ranked first in almost every region of Ukraine, except for the South where Odesa took the lead, other cities were evaluated very differently across regions. Lviv was rated highly in terms of tourist attractiveness in the West, Center, North, and East; Odesa in the South and Donbas; Kharkiv only in the East; and Donetsk only in Donbas. Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia received rather low ratings everywhere.
- In the West, Lviv as the most attractive tourist city in Ukraine received 59% of preferences and Odesa 34%, while in the South the situation was reversed, with 32% for Lviv and 59% for Odesa. There were also differences in evaluations depending on demographic characteristics. For example, the higher the level of education and material well-being and the lower the age of respondents, the fewer undecided answers were recorded. Urban residents were more informed about the tourist potential of large cities than rural residents.
- Regarding Lviv and Kyiv, there was a clear relationship: the higher the level of education, the higher the attractiveness ratings of these cities. Lviv was more often mentioned by people who rated their own material well-being highly, while Odesa was more often chosen by young people. Interestingly, Lviv and Kyiv were more often named by respondents who identified as Ukrainians by nationality, whereas Odesa and Kharkiv were more often named by ethnic Russians.
- The mayors of Kharkiv, Kyiv, and Lviv were considered the best city leaders, each receiving 11–12% of support nationwide. The mayors of Donetsk and Odesa were mentioned by 9–10% of respondents, and the mayors of Zaporizhzhia and Dnipro by about 5%. It should be noted that 19% of respondents said that none of the mayors of large cities could be considered the best, while another 43% were unable to give an answer. The responses differed noticeably by region. Andrii Sadovyi was recognized as the best city leader in the West at 20% and in the Center at 17%, Leonid Chernovetskyi in the North at 15% and in the South at 15%, Mykhailo Dobkin in the East at 27%, and Oleksandr Lukianchenko in Donbas at 31%. Eduard Hurvits received his highest ratings in the South at 13%, while Yevhen Kartashov and Ivan Kulichenko received their highest ratings in the East at 14% and 12% respectively.
- In addition to regional differences, demographic patterns were also evident. Among those who were undecided, there were more people with lower levels of education and lower material well-being. The higher the level of education of respondents, the higher the ratings given to Andrii Sadovyi and Eduard Hurvits. Depending on self-assessed material well-being, Oleksandr Lukianchenko received higher ratings.
- Interestingly, Mykhailo Dobkin and Leonid Chernovetskyi received almost twice as low ratings from rural residents as from urban residents, while Andrii Sadovyi and Oleksandr Lukianchenko, on the contrary, received better ratings from respondents living in rural areas. The mayor of Lviv ranked first among respondents who identified as Ukrainians by nationality, while the mayors of Kharkiv and Donetsk received almost twice as high ratings from ethnic Russians than from ethnic Ukrainians.
Press
Electoral moods of the Ukrainian population: August 2009
25.08.2009
- According to the results of a nationwide survey conducted in August 2009, 49% of respondents said that if a presidential election were held next Sunday, they would definitely take part, while another 31% said they would rather take part. For parliamentary elections, the figures were 45% and 32% respectively. Thus, voter turnout is expected to be slightly higher in presidential elections than in parliamentary ones.
- The presidential race is led by Viktor Yanukovych, Yuliia Tymoshenko, and Arsenii Yatseniuk. Compared to May 2009, support for V. Yanukovych increased from 25.3% to 28.9%; support for Y. Tymoshenko remained almost unchanged, declining slightly from 15.9% in May to 15.4% in August; and support for A. Yatseniuk also remained almost unchanged, moving from 13.2% to 12.3%.
- The next group of candidates is clustered at the 3–5% level. Compared to May, support for V. Lytvyn decreased from 6.2% to 3.7%, support for P. Symonenko remained almost unchanged, from 4.4% to 3.9%, and support for V. Yushchenko also remained almost unchanged, from 3.1% to 2.6%.
- Among those who intend to vote, the distribution of support is as follows: V. Yanukovych 34.6%, Y. Tymoshenko 18.3%, A. Yatseniuk 14.4%, P. Symonenko 4.4%, V. Lytvyn 4.2%, V. Yushchenko 3.0%, O. Tiahnybok 1.4%, I. Bohoslovska 1.3%, and S. Tihipko 1.1%. Other candidates together account for 1.6%, 7.8% would vote against all, and 7.9% are undecided.
- When asked whom they would support if the second round were between V. Yanukovych and Y. Tymoshenko, 35% of respondents preferred the leader of the Party of Regions and 23% chose the BYuT leader. In a Yanukovych–Yatseniuk runoff, Yanukovych also leads, 34% to 24%. In a Yanukovych–Yushchenko matchup, Yanukovych’s advantage is even greater, 37% to 8%. In a hypothetical Yatseniuk–Tymoshenko runoff, the leader of the Front for Change would win, 23% to 19%, and he would also defeat Yushchenko, 29% to 4%.
- V. Yanukovych’s electoral core is formed in Donbas, the South, and the East, where his support reaches 40–50%. At the same time, he is supported by 13–14% in the North and Center and by about 8% in the West. Y. Tymoshenko enjoys her strongest support in the North and Center, at 26%, and in the West, at 20%. A. Yatseniuk is most popular in the West, at 24%, and lags far behind the BYuT leader in the North and Center, at 11–13%. In other regions, support for Tymoshenko and Yatseniuk is nearly equal, with a slight advantage for the prime minister in the South and for the former speaker in the East and Donbas.
- V. Lytvyn has his strongest support in the North and Center, P. Symonenko in the South, East, and Donbas, V. Yushchenko and O. Tiahnybok in the West, I. Bohoslovska in the South and Donbas, and S. Tihipko in the South and East.
- Electoral preferences differ between urban and rural residents. V. Yanukovych’s support is 1.5 times higher in cities, while his main opponents are stronger in rural areas, especially Y. Tymoshenko, whose support in rural areas is one third higher than in cities.
- Among supporters of the Party of Regions leader, people with secondary and vocational education prevail. Support for the BYuT leader is almost independent of education level, while for the Front for Change leader there is a clear trend: the higher the education level of respondents, the higher the support for A. Yatseniuk.
- Older people are the most decided in their electoral choice and also include the smallest share of those who intend to vote against all. For most candidates, there are no strong age-related trends in support, except for P. Symonenko, who is traditionally supported by pensioners three times more than by other age groups.
- Support for Y. Tymoshenko among women is one quarter higher than among men. Respondents who identify as ethnic Russians support V. Yanukovych twice as much as ethnic Ukrainians.
- The economic crisis largely determines today’s fears and anxieties. Fifty-nine percent of Ukrainians named economic decline among the three main threats to the country, 42.9% rising unemployment, and 38.9% arbitrary actions by the authorities. The devaluation of the hryvnia ranks fourth at 27.8%, and one in five Ukrainians is concerned about the degradation of the population.
- Voters of V. Yanukovych are more worried about economic decline than voters of Y. Tymoshenko, 64% versus 55%. Voters of A. Yatseniuk do not share this pessimism of the Party of Regions electorate, but they do fully share concerns about arbitrary rule, at about 40% compared to 29% among Tymoshenko’s supporters. Supporters of the Front for Change leader are more concerned than supporters of both Tymoshenko and Yanukovych about the threat of Ukraine losing control over its gas transit system and about the loss of independence.
- It is notable that those who are undecided, those who intend to vote against all, as well as supporters of both V. Yanukovych and A. Yatseniuk, are most united by their concern over arbitrary actions by the authorities.
- The top three in parliamentary elections are traditionally the Party of Regions, BYuT, and the hypothetical Yatseniuk Bloc. Compared to May 2009, support for the Party of Regions increased from 24.9% to 28%; support for the Yuliia Tymoshenko Bloc remained almost unchanged, from 15.2% in May to 14.6% in August; and support for the Arsenii Yatseniuk Bloc also remained stable, from 10.4% to 10.6%.
- At a considerable distance but still with chances to cross the 3% threshold follow the Communist Party of Ukraine, the Volodymyr Lytvyn Bloc, and Viktor Yushchenko’s Our Ukraine party. Compared to May 2009, support for the Lytvyn Bloc declined from 6.1% to 3.1%, support for the Communist Party fell slightly from 5.4% to 4.4%, and support for Our Ukraine remained essentially unchanged, from 2.8% to 2.4%.
- Among those who intend to vote, the distribution of support is as follows: Party of Regions 34.1%, BYuT 17.7%, Yatseniuk Bloc 12.7%, Communist Party of Ukraine 5.2%, Lytvyn Bloc 3.5%, Our Ukraine 2.7%, and All-Ukrainian Union Svoboda 2.1%. Other parties and blocs together account for 5.8%, 7.9% would vote against all, and 8.3% are undecided.
Press
Economic decline, rising unemployment and government arbitrariness are the three main threats to Ukraine today
20.08.2009
- The economic crisis largely defines today’s fears and anxieties of citizens. Fifty-nine percent of Ukrainians named economic decline among the three main threats to Ukraine, 42.9% cited rising unemployment, 38.9% arbitrary actions by the authorities, 27.8% the devaluation of the hryvnia, and 20.9% the degradation of the population. Between 10% and 13% of respondents mentioned rising crime, environmental disasters, and deterioration in healthcare.
- Around 10% of Ukrainians are convinced that the country faces the threat of fragmentation and the loss of control over its gas transmission system. Between 6% and 8% of respondents are most concerned about mass emigration of Ukrainians abroad, a demographic crisis, and a decline in the quality of education.
- About 7% believe Ukraine is threatened by an unconstitutional coup, around 6% by the loss of independence, 4% by civil war, 3% by a military threat from Russia, and 1.5% by a threat from the West. Less than 1% fear terrorism in Ukraine.
- There are notable regional and demographic differences. Fear of economic decline is strongest among residents of the Center, South, East, and Donbas, regions with developed industrial production, primarily among economically active people aged 30–49 with secondary or vocational education. Rising unemployment worries young people aged 18–29 the most, and this concern is present in almost all regions, especially in the South and least in the North. Women, particularly those living in rural areas, fear unemployment more than men.
- Arbitrary actions by the authorities are of greater concern to residents of the South, East, and Donbas, regions dissatisfied with the current government. Urban residents are more worried about this threat than rural ones.
- The devaluation of the hryvnia is most feared in the West. Ethnic Ukrainians are significantly more concerned about this issue than ethnic Russians, likely because some associate this threat not only with the erosion of their incomes and savings but also with a weakening of the state.
- The higher the level of education of respondents, the greater their concern about the degradation of Ukraine’s population. This fear is especially widespread in the North and East and is more common in cities than in villages.
- Rising crime worries residents of Donbas the most, environmental disasters concern people in the North and East, and the deterioration of healthcare is most feared in the South.
- Mass emigration of Ukrainians abroad mainly concerns residents of the West and Center. A demographic crisis is feared most in the North, while declining education standards are most feared in the South.
- Those who believe Ukraine risks losing control over its gas transmission system are mostly young people, predominantly men with higher education, with the highest shares in the North, South, West, and East.
- Residents of the Center, West, and North are three times more likely than those in the South, East, and Donbas to cite the loss of independence as a threat. These are mostly older people and ethnic Ukrainians. A military threat from Russia is also expected most often in the West, Center, and North. At the same time, fear of civil war is highest in Donbas and the South. The risk of the country’s fragmentation is most feared in the South and Center and least in the West, while ethnic Russians expect this threat more often than ethnic Ukrainians.
- The regional classification used in the survey was as follows. West: Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Chernivtsi. Center: Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Poltava, Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy. North: Kyiv city, Kyiv region, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Chernihiv. South: Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Odesa, Kherson, Mykolaiv. East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia.